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To our math, that mitt romney isn't going to reach that 1144 mark. that's our challenge. he has the delegate lead. but when he actually wraps up that magical number, it won't be for quite a while. he might not even do it after the last primary on june 26th. >> it looks like newt gingrich was crunching the math just like you were. you heard him say mitt romney may not get to the convention. >> well, right. and so that's -- that's the challenge for newt gingrich. actually the challenge for rick santorum. they might say this may not be wrapped up until the convention, but mitt romney has a very s...

>> let's get right to our political panel. joining us from washington. msnbc contributor john capehart, opinion writer for the "washington post." you know i'm coming back to jonathan. and joining me in new york, the senior political writer for politico and msnbc contributor tow toure. i'm going to start with you. gingrich is down there in louisiana stumping hard this week. so is santorum. who will be the last guy standing come the end of saturday? >> well, it depends on whether we're doing the short game or the long game. for the short game, rick santorum is pretty well favored to come out of ...

Energy and enthusiasm they will have? is it enough in virginia, colorado, new mexico to be the difference. >> bill's right. there are a lot of point as long the way to add to the passion behind a campaign. but look, passion is measured in a lot of ways quantifiable. mitt's raised more money than anyone else. people are passionate giving money, a check for $1,000, 50 bucks he's got more than 1 million votesing doubled down in terms of delegate lead. we're giving mitt a hard time and he's got indicators of passion that reflect passion about his people. so this idea that we're going to go to the ...

we're only a day away from a crucial primary that could determine where this republican marathon is headed. fresh off a run away win in puerto rico, mitt romney is now looking to score big in illinois. rick santorum needs a strong showing as he tries to deny romney the nomination. the two rivals have long since taken off the gloves, but now they have put on some brass knuckles as well. our national correspondent jim accosta is in chicago with the very latest. >> the top two gop contenders are practicing their own brand of chicago style politics on this day before the illinois primary...

Out from under you. even though barack obama had lost three big states or two big states in rhode island, he was focused on one thing, delegates. while he lost the votes, he was behind the scenes made sure he hadn't lost in delegates. even though mitt romney lost alabama and mississippi, here is a message from his campaign today. "tuesday's results actually increased governor romney's delegate lead. opponents moves closer to their date of mathematical elimination." that sounds so final, doesn't it? this is a delegate fight now. when barack obama was in the midst of his own delegate fight he wa...