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Let's get right to it. ron is on the ground in iowa. who is that alternative? who can it be? >> well, first of all, good to be back with you again, kyra. as we wrote in our 2012 blog at "national journal" over the weekend, the key issue here if you're thinking about the big picture of who is going to win the nomination probably isn't who comes in first. it is whether iowa will elevate someone with a chance of growing into a true national competitor to romney because, right now, the way the cards are falling is very favorable for the romney camp. in that, it looks like the top t tier in some or...

I do wond earp what the influence of the tea party will be. i think mitt romney is on the inevitable path to the republican nomination. so then what happens? does the tea party just fall in line and support mitt romney versus barack obama or is there a possibility or a threat of a third party tea party candidate somewhere down the line? i have to wonder that. i don't know the answer. >> and that's a good point, too. discussing who the presidential nominee is going to be, if it's someone like, say, mitt romney, and i know a lot of people really want to go ahead and throw their hat in the ring a...

>> this is also a field of contenders, one of whom has said we should have an electrified border fence. humanity on the basic level is -- >> i think newt is thinking a long game. and it would help him if he got the nomination to have a more hospitable stance on immigration. as always, newt tends to be opportunistic, i agree with george will who called him a retail politician, and i think this is kind of another example of how newt is going to go with what's most advantageous for him. >> if he were the nominee, this is not a position that will make him friends in the hispanic community. on the ...

Impossible to get out. remember everybody all of a sudden thought it was an amnesty bill. one of the things on that point was president bush got absolutely no help from the left either. >> bill: let's keep in it this. so president bush is watching this whole thing dissolve. okay, because commentators that oppose the mccain-kennedy bill -- i tried not to make it personal. i said many times if i were a poor man in mexico i would sneak across the border and try to make money to feed my family. but i didn't like the policy aspect of it because it didn't secure the border so i opposed the bill. but...

Impossible to get out. remember everybody all of a sudden thought it was an amnesty bill. one of the things on that point was president bush got absolutely no help from the left either. >> bill: let's keep in it this. so president bush is watching this whole thing dissolve. okay, because commentators that oppose the mccain-kennedy bill -- i tried not to make it personal. i said many times if i were a poor man in mexico i would sneak across the border and try to make money to feed my family. but i didn't like the policy aspect of it because it didn't secure the border so i opposed the bill. but...