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World as it is, a memoir of the obama white house" he served as a national security advisor for president obama. and john heilemann is back with us. and ben, you might have had a hand in that speech we just heard. your reaction to the president's choice of doing absolutely nothing today, not making his way to arlington national cemetery even for a visit and his fear of rain this weekend in france keeping him away from an observance at an american military cemetery there. >> well, it's really astonishing. i mean to first of all fly all the way to paris for an invent that was entirely about payi...

The well the needle shows this and more of here's what it doesn't show, here's what we should always remember can happen about probabilities. i do think you hear less certitude because the big lesson from the press in 2016 was just we don't know what is going to happen until it has already happened. which is an eternal truth of the universe. we should have already known that. that's why i don't like to make predictions. because of that you do hear more uncertainty in all of the forecasts trying to communicate to readers look that is this is what we think is most probable but we actually don't ...

We give hundreds and hundreds of billions of dollars of foreign aid every year to countries around the world. iran gave hundreds of billions of dollars to iran, a country who absolutely hates our guts and look what we get for it? we give so much foreign aid to countries around the world, millions to honduras and all these countries. he says, you know what? i will stop giving you foreign aid if you don't take care of this problem. make sure this doesn't show up on our southern border. >> melissa: people would say that's heartless. >> eric trump: it's not heartless at all. you have to protect th...

Fwl we talk a lot about the cliche this is a nation of immigrants. eric trump was leaning into that, but more as a defense of their rhetoric. take a listen to eric trump on all this. >> this isn't an american problem. you take care of your own problem. make sure this doesn't show up on our southern border. >> people would say that's heartless. >> it's not heartless. it's not heartless at all. you have to come into this country legally. guys, i'm the product of immigration. my mom wasn't born in the united states. my father's current wife wasn't born in the u.s., but the difference was they cam...

Parties and not for the very few and the future of the german party system was always sort of taking place in other state level elections you know the the first red green party the first red green coalition in hessen the first black green coalition in hamburg. but now for the first time bavaria doesn't show as the past of the german party system but possibly its future too and it's not just in germany right i mean we're seeing this political fragmentation in fact all over here up on other parts of the world as well and i'm looking of course at the netherlands italy sweden on these smaller part...