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>> that is factually correct, but may be wishful thinking on jeb bush's part. we'll find out. back with more on the special edition of "mtp daily," diving deep into the february foursome of states that will shape the 2016 race. we're halfway through our first four. the back half is a split situation. let me explain. so nevada democrats and south carolina republicans will actually make their pick on the same day february 20th, a saturday. the other side in each state will weigh in a few days later on separate days. why the two-state parties in south carolina, nevada don't work together the iowa...

Have fairly serious strategies working for their advantage. abby: marjorie, as kevin is say ing money matters here. if you're jeb bush you don't win iowa, you doesn't win new hampshire, you don't win south carolina, how far do you go and have to get out? >> kevin said what are the possibilities. look back to 2008 how obama ran his campaign in a very digitally-focused and small incremental fund-raising i think that is maybe what they're trying out. you look at bush. he made his announcement on snapchat. he is using instagram to communicate as a digital strategy. so i think again, sort of, throw...

Committed to, there's like -- lack of comfort. >> what do you see in bernie? >> you know, with bernie now, there's a lot of interest among younger voters but not much as you say among african-american voters and a lot of democrats here in the state. hearing mo about hillary, polling shows that hillary has pretty much a guaranteed win here at the moment in the state. i think familiarity. obviously, even if you weren't with her in 2008, you know where she is and to a certain degree, i think, has built on that support. >> we did mention one other name, really much in the conversation, that's dona...

Whoever wins south carolina is going to go into the super tuesday states on march 1st and be seen whether fair or not as a southern favorite and that's going to set him up. >> the running conventional wisdom is the conservative out of iowa becomes front-runner. >> becomes front-runner. >> if that conservative out of iowa is ted cruz. right. you do well with evangelicals. all though the evangelical vote in south carolina is less, i don't know how to say, evangelically they're not as conservative as they are in iowa. >> lindsey graham wouldn't be a united states senator if that were the case. >>...

Another candidate's husband, then his personal life is certainly out there. >> we learned jeb bush is pulling $3 million from planned advertising to bring in more staff in those early states. you look at his campaign, is that a sign of worry -- i don't want to say panic, but -- >> i don't think it's panic at all. he's looking at the field and looking at the competition. and jeb bush and all of the candidates know they have to show momentum in these early states. again, this race is wide open. we've been analyzing this for months, but the average voter is just now tuning in and paying attention...