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Provoking some sort of political process in russia where the war, if it becomes bloody and prolonged, actually backfires on him is probably the most important thing thatis probably the most important thing that is holding him back. but when i say he holds all the cards, it is nothing that ukraine has done or nato has done that brought this crisis. this crisis was completely engineered. inside putin's head. it engineered. inside putin's head. it sounds as if it is almost a distraction to what is going on at home, but there is something, isn't there, and president putin's psyche about geographic...

Conflict, in the east of ukraine. that was basically a civil war between russian speakers, ethnic russians in the east, and the pro—western neofascists in the west of ukraine. but russia has nothing to do with it. i think if we were to see a military scenario, it is more likely to be those russian proxies, the separatists, leading it, leading the separatists, leading it, leading the charge, expanding their control, liberating, in their language, the rest of the donbas region, which currently russia only holds about 30% through separatists of the donbas territory. they could certainly go furt...

Independence of this territory. again, not very clear what it gets him in terms of really dismantling ukraine or preventing it from development. 0r ukraine or preventing it from development. or in terms of getting support from his own people. thank ou ve support from his own people. thank you very much _ support from his own people. thank you very much for — support from his own people. thank you very much for your— support from his own people. thank you very much for your time - support from his own people. thank you very much for your time this - you very much for your time this evening....

Want russia's presence there is much harder. we have seen this in afghanistan, both during this soviet campaign in the 1980s and during more recent american campaigns. holding onto territory is very hard. 0ccupying kyiv i think is pretty impossible militarily. so what he gains is really not very clear, and also do not forget that for all these years since 2014, when russia annexed crimea bloodless lie, i must add, that was a very swift operation, definitely because of importance of crimea, it was a jewel in the russian empire, a black sea resort, that played very well with the russian public. ...

But do not forget that for eight years putin has been telling the west and the russian people that russia is not the site in this conflict, in the east of ukraine. that was basically a civil war between russian speakers, ethnic russians in the east, and the pro—western neofascists in the west of ukraine. but russia has nothing to do with it. i think if we were to see a military scenario, it is more likely to be those russian proxies, the separatists, leading it, leading the charge, expanding their control, liberating, in their language, the rest of the donbas region, which currently russia o...