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smerconish starts right now. is it over before it begins? i'm michael smerconish in philadelphia. before a single primary vote has been cast, has donald trump already sewn up the gop nomination or is it still up for grabs? everybody has an opinion. but the data tells a pretty compelling story. peggy noonan writing that i refuse to see the story as over. voting begins now. after chris christie dropped out, nate kohn wrote the christie vote alone will probably not be enough, but haley has been steady gaining in the polls and historically there is a lot of precedent for urge is being ...

katie -- . could we be at the beginning of the end of the gop race for president? or, will a power greater than politics intervene? the des moines register just released its final poll before monday's caucus. and while donald trump holds a historic lead, there is some slippage in his support, something he probably wanted to address in person today, but could not, as a blizzard forced him to cancel both of his rallies. ladies and gentlemen, let me introduce politics to bomb cyclone. this is what it looks like in iowa. and this is what it feels like in iowa. that is, unless you're hit ...

tonight which candidate benefits when the road to the white house freezes over we are live in iowa. also, tonight after u.s. and british airstrikes on targets in yemen, fighters try to make good on their threat of revenge. later, investigating how even skeptical officials can face backlash. we begin with iowa. the state is being hammered by winter weather. this is video of the capital, des moines, where the windchill is -13. a blizzard warning is in effect. jeff, how did we convince you to stand outside? how is it feeling there and how is the campaign being affected tonight? >> it is...

consequences. last night, there were consequences. also this hour, the iowa caucus campaign blitz with haley and desantis battling for second place. if the latest polls are correct, donald trump has a 30-point lead. kristin welker joins me live from des moines to break it all down. former president trump refocusing on iowa after his fireworks during closing arguments at his civil fraud trial in manhattan. the judge promising his decision on how much to fine the former president and his adult sons before the end of the month. ♪♪ good day, everyone. i'm andrea mitchell back i...

good morning to our viewers in the united states and around the world. it's kasie hunt. it's thursday, 5:00 a.m. here in washington. it's 4:00 a a.m. in iowa. there are now four days until the caucuses. hours ago, ron desantis and nikki haley went head to head on the cnn debate stage in the fight for number two. both deploying the pants on fire strategy. >> you have said it again. stop lying. >> she said she never said it. you're lying. >> it doesn't change the fact that ron is lying because ron is losing. >> you lie a the lot. hnikki haley gives him a run fo his money. >> you get th...