Page 16 - Fascinating Stuff News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

>> this is newt gingrich holding a town hall in plymouth, new hampshire. town halls, of course, the way have you to campaign here in new hampshire. keeping an eye on all the campaign events throughout this state all day long. by the way though, mitt romney event this morning here in new hampshire and then heads down to south carolina with mccain and nikki haley. we'll get a check ahead of the day on wall street. the rundown coming up. president obama set town leash hundreds of millions of cuts in the military budget. in the last 25 years, how many candidates not named bush or mccain have won...

Coming and having his moment at the last second, literally right on top of the iowa caucuses. it is entirely possible that he could pull off a huge upset win because he's had enough evangelical pastors getting behind him. so as we told you sometime around labor day when we were at the iowa state fair, this is going to be a photo finish. now it is. martha: yeah. indeed it is. carl, fascinating stuff. and when the earmuffs come out, we know carl's in iowa, right, carl? >> reporter: and it's cold. i almost, i almost cussed for it, it's cold. [laughter] martha: you look great. thanks a lot. regard...

Rick santorum had the benefit of coming and having his moment at the last second, literally right on top of the iowa caucuses. it is entirely possible that he could pull off a huge upset win because he's had enough evangelical pastors getting behind him. so as we told you sometime around labor day when we were at the iowa state fair, this is going to be a photo finish. now it is. martha: yeah. indeed it is. carl, fascinating stuff. and when the earmuffs come out, we know carl's in iowa, right, carl? >> reporter: and it's cold. i almost, i almost cussed for it, it's cold. [laughter] martha: you...

Obama 17%. fascinating. in his second scenario, the opponent is romney but the economy in america is improving. the probability of winning in these circumstances, romney, 40%, obama's probability of winning, 60%. in the third scenario, obama's opponent is rick perry, and the economy is improving. in this case, the probability of winning the popular vote is perry, 17%, obama, 83%. in the fourth scenario, fascinating, the most fascinating, the opponent is perry and the economy is stagnant. perry, probability of him winning, 59%, probability of the president getting re-elected, 41%. mike feldman,...

Economy is stagnant. in nate's calculation, the probability of winning the popular vote under these circumstances is romney 83%, obama 17%. fascinating. in his second scenario, the opponent is romney but the economy in america is improving. the probability of winning in these circumstances, romney, 40%, obama's probability of winning, 60%. in the third scenario, obama's opponent is rick perry, and the economy is improving. in this case, the probability of winning the popular vote is perry, 17%, obama, 83%. in the fourth scenario, fascinating, the most fascinating, the opponent is perry and the...