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Had to nudge to the north. now it has an influence. tiny changes can make a big difference in the eventual movement of the storms. thousands of parameters that we're trying to measure and put into models to get the tracks. a small wobble or change can cause that forecast track to nudge a little bit. that's why there's so much uncertainty. we spent a lot of time talking about the actual cone. you look at the last five years and that's the forecast error possible with that tract. we try to communicate these uncertainties and it does possible, especially when you're measuring thousands of paramet...

More. we take these month els, we call them the operational models, we tweak them a little bit. maybe we make the high pressure system a little stronger or weaker. we come up with the american model, 26 different options off of this, with the european, 51 different options. it's a little more confusing, that's what the hurricane center is doing. >> all week long i've been hearing reports historically, that the european model has been corrected. i believe the european models had it going into the gulf of mexico, to the american one. >> two or three days. >> i look at the american model and that...