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rick santorum has a brand-new surge coming after stunning victories in the deep county. newt gingrich is refusing to add up the numbers. mitt romney's cavern says this race is still a forgone conclusion. let's begin with joe johns, he's in illinois. joe? >> reporter: wolf, this is rosemo rosemont, illinois, outside of chicago, where newt gingrich is expected to appear shortly. there were new calls today from conservatives for gingrich to get out of the race and give rick santorum a clean shot at the republican nomination. as indecision limped closer to the halfway mark, the candidate...

With those extenuating circumstances, republicans really didn't lose ground in that first george w. bush midterm. but republicans arguably paid double the next time around in 2006. after george w. bush got re-elected in '04, his party lost control of both the house and the senate in 2006. and that's the pattern of how it usually goes in midterms. the party that holds the white house usually has a bad night on midterm election nights. and that's one way to think about the elections that are coming up this year, in historical context. you go all the way back to the truman administration of 1946....