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According to Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, it is not possible to say with certainty if this activity will lead to an eruption.
The Hawaiian Volcano Observatory says that during the past day, moderate rates of seismicity have returned to the volcano’s southern summit region, extending from the area south of Halemaʻumau crater and southwest to the Koʻae fault zone.
The USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory issued an information statement on Friday evening reporting elevated unrest and increased seismicity to the south of Kīlauea’s summit. The HVO reports that Kīlauea is not erupting, but that the increased unrest started at around 1:10 p.m. on Friday, Dec. 29, 2023, and is continuing.
Earthquake swarms like this can precede eruptions, but there is no lateral or upward migration of earthquakes that would suggest magma is moving toward the surface at this time.
Earthquake swarms like this can precede eruptions, but there is no lateral or upward migration of earthquakes that would suggest magma is moving toward the surface at this time.