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♪ president trump is out pounding the campaign trail and he will be making stops in four different states. today he held two major ralliesp indiana and west virginia. let's take a a look. >> we are finally putting america first. it's been a long time. [cheers and applause] but if chuck schumer and nancy pelosi -- [boos] and the legendary maxine waters -- [boos] take power, they will try to erase our gains and eradicate our progress, that's what's going to happen. >> sean: president trump campaigning in west virginia, that means one thing. incumbent democrat joe manchin is in serious trouble....

Too many secrets right now. but in a moment i will show you what you predicted for the senate. and i will see in a moment if you will change your mind over 24 hours. got a deal? >> sean: got it. >> first i want to start with the house. on tuesday night around 7:00, what are the telltale signs about how this race is going? the polls close at 7:00 in indiana, virginia, lots of good house races there, in the state of georgia, good governors races down there. and at 7:30 p.m., we head into ohio and west virginia. at 8:00, this is where you start to digest the data. this is where we start to get an...

Called secret conservatives that aren'teo making any noise, they aren't saying anything. they aren't participating in the polls. i think the polls are directional, but the polls are not exact in terms of what we think the outcome is going to be. but the big thing is, people have access to more and better information themselves. >> sean: the polls were wrong in '04. the exit polls showed that john kerry was the president. they couldn't have been more wrong in 2014. there is something to what herman is saying. i view fear is a great motivator, fear of nancy pelosi really having a good shot hopef...

Word? he's going all in. you can see it. 11 cities, 11 states, 11 stops in five, six days. and fighting for every vote. crisscrossing the country at the speed of trump, on behalf of the policies that are working for that forgotten men and womenen that suffered eight years under barack obama. because of every objective economic measure, you look at it, we are better off. meanwhile democrats, no plan to make your life better. they offer nothing but daily hate,r. division, obstruction. they want higher taxes, more regulation, more obamacare, more open borders, more sanctuary cities. they obstruct...

Do the math, sean. that's 42 points where the president was a winner and that is again why he thinks he's got a good shot flipping that seat. by the way, congressional seat number three is up for grabs. pop over to indiana, state that he won by 15 points two years ago. the senate race there, we know what it is. it's joe donnelly the democrat and mike braun at the republican. if you look at the polls and smash them altogether, it looks like donnelly has a one point lead there. last night we did a "what if" for the senate for you. let's dial this up and tell me where you think something could gi...