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Optimally generate policy-based evidence before scaling

Social scientists have increasingly turned to the experimental method to understand human behaviour. One critical issue that makes solving social problems difficult is scaling up the idea from a small group to a larger group in more diverse situations. The urgency of scaling policies impacts us every day, whether it is protecting the health and safety of a community or enhancing the opportunities of future generations. Yet, a common result is that, when we scale up ideas, most experience a ‘voltage drop’—that is, on scaling, the cost–benefit profile depreciates considerably. Here I argue that, to reduce voltage drops, we must optimally generate policy-based evidence. Optimality requires answering two crucial questions: what information should be generated and in what sequence. The economics underlying the science of scaling provides insights into these questions, which are in some cases at odds with conventional approaches. For example, there are important situations in which I advocate flipping the traditional social science research model to an approach that, from the beginning, produces the type of policy-based evidence that the science of scaling demands. To do so, I propose augmenting efficacy trials by including relevant tests of scale in the original discovery process, which forces the scientist to naturally start with a recognition of the big picture: what information do I need to have scaling confidence? To reduce voltage drops—the depreciation of the cost–benefit profile when scaling up solutions to social problems—sufficient policy-based evidence must be generated before policymakers scale up the project.

National-bureau-of-economic-research , California , United-states , Washington-square , Cambridge , Cambridgeshire , United-kingdom , London , City-of , Netherlands , Chicago , Illinois

Dateline

>> our main goal inside was to get a story and a script played out. >> in these mountains, miss are as persistent as the rain. here, some people are swearing to see bigger wandering through deep woods. and the undead might just be a story, or maybe not. so what movie did that and daughter right? from the dark, they called it. >> it ends up being a movie about isolation. >> it's kind of a film about the human response to fear, i think. >> yes. >> trinity's that had been saving for a motorcycle. instead, he hired a screen writer, a director, a musician, and then? came casting. the lead character, valerie, was in nearly every scene. the success of the film would be riding on her shoulders. but, by the final day of casting,. >> we were just kind of sitting

Story , Mountains , People , Miss , Undead , Wandering , Goal , Rain , Script , Deep-woods , Movie , Daughter

Honoring the Departed: The Role of Art in Grief and Remembrance

Explore the therapeutic power of art in grief and remembrance, understanding how art aids in healing, expressing emotions, and honoring loved ones.

Egypt , Egyptian , Human-response , Psychological-impact , Cultural-dimensions , Does-art-serve , Memorialize-art , Therapeutic-value , Can-art-serve , Artistic-representations , What-ways-can-art-be-used

Asia Business Report

i worried about? yes, 100%. mark meadows, _ i worried about? yes, 10096. - mark meadows, communications between him and the prosecutors, a recent flip harrison floyd, now changing his story with respect to obstruction ofjustice charges. he has little control over that. the most of control is to flow a lot of money. but that is, if there is an achilles to the overall strategy is the sort of human response of other people who are not used to this kind of scrutiny, attention, vitriol and targeting that is happening. hi vitriol and targeting that is happening-— vitriol and targeting that is haueninu. ., , happening. if that is the case, what do you — happening. if that is the case, what do you know _ happening. if that is the case, what do you know about - happening. if that is the case, what do you know about what| happening. if that is the case, i what do you know about what the legal strategy is from the trump team?— legal strategy is from the trump team? legal strategy is from the trum team? , , ., trump team? they will tell you it is the truth. _ trump team? they will tell you it is the truth. each _ trump team? they will tell you it is the truth. each case - trump team? they will tell you it is the truth. each case is - it is the truth. each case is different. 0bviously, it is the truth. each case is different. obviously, the new york case is different to the fulton county case but, listen,

Mark-meadows , Prosecutors , Charges , Flip-harrison-floyd , Respect , Story , Yes , Obstruction-ofjustice , 100 , 10096 , Strategy , Control

BBC News

drive down one highway out of yellowknife. clearly, fires like this cannot always be controlled but what can be controlled but what can be controlled is the human response and when you take the decision to leave and over the last few years, there are more and more voices suggesting that the traditional ways of combating fires or responding to fires might need to change and that we need to adjust their understanding of how we move people around and how we get them out and how we defend communities. the new realities, despise behaviour more extremely than before, burning more intensely and covering more intensely and covering more distance, and threatening communities in the ways that previously was not expected. i5 previously was not expected. is there anything specifically that people what the government to do or change in order to prevent or better manage wildfires in the future? i think there is a whole bunch of things, a list too long to get into, but it is more important to say the average human being

Yellowknife , Highway , Decision , More , Human-response , Cannot , Voices , One , Fires , People , Understanding , Ways

BBC News

are they able to control and contain these blazes and make sure that they can protect people and communities? frankly, the answer to that is no, otherwise we wouldn't have 20,000 people all trying to drive down one highway out of yellowknife right now. clearly, fires like this cannot always be controlled. what can be controlled is the human response to that and when you take the decision to leave and how you take the decision to leave. and over the last few years, there are more and more voices suggesting that the traditional ways of combating fires — or, more accurately, the traditional way of communities responding to fires — might need to change and that we need to adjust our understanding of how we move people around and how we get them out and how we defend communities to the new reality that is fires behaving more extremely than they ever have before, covering more distance, burning more intensely, and threatening communities in a way that previously just was not expected. and briefly, 0llie, is there anything specifically that people want the government to do or change in order to prevent or better

Communities , People , Yellowknife , Highway , Blazes , Answer , Cannot , 20000 , One , Way , More , Decision

BBC News

like right now, that does not do too much, cooler temperatures do not help that much, it has been an unusually hot summer which is why these fires are as devastating as they are. more than a thousand fires currently burning in canada. in terms of authorities and firefighters, are they able to control and contain these blazes and protect communities? frankly they answer to that is no, otherwise we would not have 20,000 people all trying to drive down one highway out of yellowknife. clearly, fires like this cannot always be controlled but what can be controlled is the human response to that and when you take the decision to leave and over the last few years, there are more and more voices suggesting that the traditional ways of combating fires or responding to fires might need to change and that we need to adjust

Fires , Temperatures , Summer , Communities , Blazes , Authorities , Terms , Firefighters , Canada , A-thousand , People , Highway

Sportsday

the case. it was only a year after she stopped working as a nurse that the police came above. medical records were found in her room, diaries, notes she had written including, iam diaries, notes she had written including, i am evil, diaries, notes she had written including, iam evil, i have diaries, notes she had written including, i am evil, i have done this. ,, , ., ~ ., including, i am evil, i have done this. ,, ~ ., . this. she is a killer and choosing her words. _ this. she is a killer and choosing her words, she _ this. she is a killer and choosing her words, she is _ this. she is a killer and choosing her words, she is evil. _ this. she is a killer and choosing her words, she is evil. you - this. she is a killer and choosing her words, she is evil. you have | her words, she is evil. you have interviewed _ her words, she is evil. you have interviewed her, _ her words, she is evil. you have interviewed her, watched - her words, she is evil. you have interviewed her, watched her. her words, she is evil. you have interviewed her, watched her in| interviewed her, watched her in court. ~ ., interviewed her, watched her in court. ~ . , ., interviewed her, watched her in court. ~ ., .,~ interviewed her, watched her in court. ., ., ,, , court. what you make a part? she is very emotionless. _ court. what you make a part? she is very emotionless. she _ court. what you make a part? she is very emotionless. she doesn't - very emotionless. she doesn't respond to a typical human response that i would have expected. there was no empathy or sympathy with what has gone on at all.— has gone on at all. there are people who look at — has gone on at all. there are people who look at her _ has gone on at all. there are people who look at her and _ has gone on at all. there are people who look at her and said _ has gone on at all. there are people who look at her and said there - has gone on at all. there are people who look at her and said there is - has gone on at all. there are people who look at her and said there is no| who look at her and said there is no way she could have done this, circumstantial evidence, she looks as though butter wouldn't melt. it is an example for us all to not judge a book by its cover. we have

Case , Nurse , Police , Killer , Words , Diaries , Written-including , Evil , Room , Records , Iam-evil , Iam-diaries

Verified Live

what did you make of her? i think she is very emotionless. she doesn't respond to a typical human response that _ i would've expected. there was no empathy or sympathy with what's gone on at all. - i mean, there are people who look at her and say there's no way she can have done this. it's circumstantial evidence. she looks as though butter wouldn't melt. it's an example to us all of not judging a book by its cover. i we've got to accept - and understand the evidence in this case has been, i believe, significant, | and it has taken us to understand that lucy letby is a killer. - the nurse wrote this sympathy card to the parents of one baby and searched for many of the other families on facebook. letby�*s own parents supported her throughout the trial, and the court heard about her happy childhood. we may never know why she became a killer. i want her to be locked up, and i neverwant her to come out again. because what she's done has changed the course of our life forever.

Human-response , Sympathy , Empathy , Evidence , All , Way , Book , Example , Cover , Melt , People , Butter-wouldn-t

BBC News Now

with phrases including, i am evil. i did this. ,, , ., ~ ., , did this. she is a killer, and using her words. _ did this. she is a killer, and using her words, she _ did this. she is a killer, and using her words, she is _ did this. she is a killer, and using her words, she is evil. _ did this. she is a killer, and using her words, she is evil. you - did this. she is a killer, and using her words, she is evil. you have i her words, she is evil. you have sent her words, she is evil. you have spent time _ her words, she is evil. you have spent time interviewing - her words, she is evil. you have spent time interviewing her, - her words, she is evil. you have | spent time interviewing her, and watching her in court as well giving evidence. what did you make of her? i think she is very emotionless. she doesn't _ i think she is very emotionless. she doesn't respond to a typical human response _ doesn't respond to a typical human response that i would have expected. there _ response that i would have expected. there was _ response that i would have expected. there was no empathy or sympathy with what _ there was no empathy or sympathy with what has gone on at all. there are people — with what has gone on at all. there are people who _ with what has gone on at all. there are people who look— with what has gone on at all. there are people who look at _ with what has gone on at all. there are people who look at you - with what has gone on at all. there are people who look at you and - with what has gone on at all. ties are people who look at you and say, there is no way she can have done this. it is circumstantial evidence, she looks as though butter wouldn't melt. it she looks as though butter wouldn't melt. . . she looks as though butter wouldn't melt. , :, :, , she looks as though butter wouldn't melt. , . ., , ., she looks as though butter wouldn't melt. , . ., , :, , ., :, melt. it is an example to us all of notjudging _ melt. it is an example to us all of notjudging a _ melt. it is an example to us all of notjudging a book _ melt. it is an example to us all of notjudging a book by _ melt. it is an example to us all of notjudging a book by its - melt. it is an example to us all of notjudging a book by its cover. i melt. it is an example to us all of. notjudging a book by its cover. we not judging a book by its cover. we have got— not judging a book by its cover. we have got to — not judging a book by its cover. we have got to accept and understand the evidence in this case is being, i the evidence in this case is being, i believe. — the evidence in this case is being, i believe, significant and it has taken — i believe, significant and it has taken us — i believe, significant and it has taken us to understand that lucy lethy— taken us to understand that lucy lethy is — taken us to understand that lucy lethy is a — taken us to understand that lucy letby is a killer. the taken us to understand that lucy letby is a killer.— taken us to understand that lucy letby is a killer. the nurse wrote this sympathy — letby is a killer. the nurse wrote this sympathy card _ letby is a killer. the nurse wrote this sympathy card to _ letby is a killer. the nurse wrote this sympathy card to the - letby is a killer. the nurse wrote | this sympathy card to the parents letby is a killer. the nurse wrote i this sympathy card to the parents of one baby, and searched for many of the other families one baby, and searched for many of the otherfamilies on one baby, and searched for many of the other families on facebook. one baby, and searched for many of the otherfamilies on facebook. her own parents supported her throughout

Evidence , Killer , Court , Words , You , Phrases , Response , People , Human-response , Sympathy , Empathy , Doesn-t