US stock market bulls are facing a reality check (3 ominous signs to watch)
US stock market faces the risk of an impending multi-week correction due to a potential resurgence of goods-based inflationary pressure.
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US stock market faces the risk of an impending multi-week correction due to a potential resurgence of goods-based inflationary pressure.
The US stock market continued to hit another milestone last week when the benchmark S&P 500 recorded 14 weekly gains in the past 15 weeks as of 9 February 2024, its longest winning streak since 1972.
After stellar Q4 quarterly and 2023 annual performances of 11.24% and 24.23% respectively, the US S&P 500 has started 2024 on a lacklustre footing, in the past two and half weeks, it has recorded an accumulated loss of -0.64% at this time of the writing after missing just a whisker to retest its all-time high of 4,818 set on 4 January 2022 with an intraday high of 4,802 printed on last Friday, 12 January 2024.
A pull-back from easing liquidity conditions & low correlation among S&P 500 constituents may trigger a spike in implied volatility (VIX)
When bond yields rise, the opportunity cost of capital committed to equities rises, and therefore, the expected return on equities decreases. As a result, equities command lower valuations.