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Why believe this one? >> we have long list of intelligence reports inaccurate, but one exclusion is they underestimated the speed of iraq nukes. underestimated russia in the late '40s, underestimated in china, india, pakistan. always under estimate. in the gulf war in 1991, we had no idea that saddam had active nuke programs and we discovered it after the war to our surprise and our horror. so generally speaking on history is under estimating. yes, of course, it's inaccurate. but from looking back and into the future, generally speaking it's underestimate with the glaring exception of, of cour...

Why believe this one? >> we have long list of intelligence reports inaccurate, but one exclusion is they underestimated the speed of iraq nukes. underestimated russia in the late '40s, underestimated in china, india, pakistan. always under estimate. in the gulf war in 1991, we had no idea that saddam had active nuke programs and we discovered it after the war to our surprise and our horror. so generally speaking on history is under estimating. yes, of course, it's inaccurate. but from looking back and into the future, generally speaking it's underestimate with the glaring exception of, of cour...