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Cool Pacific and amplified Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is expected to strengthen the monsoon activity during the 2nd half of August. The weak phase of the monsoon during the 1st half of August will soon make way for an active run over most parts of the country during the latter half.
Skymet predicted that Monsoon 2021 will arrive on 30th May with a margin of +/- 2days. Despite two pre-monsoon cyclones over the Indian seas, the monsoon kept date with Skymet and entered Kerala today, two days before the due date of June 1. Prior to its arrival, the pre-monsoon showers were strong over most parts of the state.
Monsoon has reached the doorsteps and is merely an arms distance from Indian mainland Kerala. Southwest Monsoon 2021 has already reached Maldives, Comorin Sea, Sri Lanka, and large parts of South and East Bay of Bengal. Southwest Monsoon 2021 is traversing like military punctuality, knocking before time and with a steady pace.
Southwest Monsoon 2021 has reached nearly the Maldives-Comorin region, Sri Lanka and southern and eastern parts of the Bay of Bengal. A La Nina advisory is no longer in effect and ENSO neutral conditions are present.