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Endorsement from the family leader and head of the republican party there says don't count santorum out. people believe in him. any chance he actually pulls this off? >> yes, a good chance because i think he's picking up momentum at just the right moment. he's peaking at the right moment. and, again, the people on the ground, they sort of go with this establishment thinking that mitt romney has this in the bag. if it were true you wouldn't have this up and down quality. everybody but romney -- i think rick santorum despite i agree his weak resume is a weak resume, something is resonating with ...

Historically has in iowa is the question. >> is romney actually going to win this? most folks are saying, yes. >> i can see him possibly winning on tuesday but here's the interesting thing, john mentioned mitt romney's ceiling. the real coming out of iowa is going to be is this going to be newt gingrich's floor? is this going to be rick perry's floor? rick perry has the money and newt gingrich had the momentum coming out of the debates. if this ends up being their floor, they could say this is their low water mark and start regaining momentum. for romney, if he win, it's great but if he still ...

Out all the time. 64 republican iowa insiders, state politician, business leaders, politico, all the people in the know in that tate and got some numbers for you on who they think will finish first. are you ready? not a big surprise, mitt romney, 63% of them think he will take the first spot, 27% think it will be ron paul and are you ready for the this, the guy surging in the poll, rick santorum got nada, doughnut, a little odd because actually in the last two days of last week's polls he insured up. john aft john avlon and also erick erickson, the editor in chief of redstate.com. ruben from "...

Right" with lenny mcalister. john, want to start with you. i like that insider thing that cnn did but it's not reflective of the polls everybody else is doing including cnn, so what's a girl to think moving into the last 36 hours? are the polls right, the insiders right? >> as you just said, the insider poll is just that, a poll of insiders in the state of what will happen and does reaffirm a lot of the other large polls that is that mitt romney is in poll position. ron paul can't be counted out. his supporters are so intense. caucuses are low turnout high intensity affairs. rick santorum gett...

Moines register" poll. mitt romney, 24%, ron paul, 22%. rick santorum, 15% and newt gingrich 12% and you see santorum's spike we've been talking about, he jumps to second place. john, let's start with you. how do you see this playing out? >> well, zoraida, the first thing to keep in mind the only poll that matters is on caucus night. all of this is preliminary so remember that basic fact of our democracy. you see mitt romney in the poll position, however, he's the only guy in politics with a glass ceiling. i can't seem to break past 25% so the question is how the rest of the deck is shuffled. ...