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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024

Poised potentially for of for the week of losses. In the bond market, the epicenter of the headlines. 170 is the estimate on wall street. Tom we will conflate a lot of economic talk. My major message is that the market still matter. It will be fascinating to see the reaction to the jobs report. Is a good news or bad news later this morning . Tom you know how much i hate that. I get confused by it. Employment is a big deal. 170 is a generous number and the Unemployment Rate matters. Jonathan lisa, adp was bad news. Lisa if you look at the revisions they have revised upwards. Their expectation i...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024

Losing to 84. 29, the main thing keeping yields at this elevated level is that concern that the fed will keep rates for higher for longer. My gut is the fed raises one more time. Why not, it is built into the market and the question is how quickly think can they cut and it certainly will not happen before the second half of next year. My fear is that this ticks around for longer than the market expects that this ticks around for longer than the market expects. Matt Abigail Doolittle has more on this unprecedented rise in bond yields. Abigail it is incredible and the idea that we can see more m...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024

5 on a 30year yield briefly. Very close to 4. 90 on the 10year yield. Tom mathematics is important and we do not do methods early in the morning. From a careful analysis to looking a vector down freefall. Something changed yesterday and mathematics went out the window. This is a warning of price analysis and fixed income. Not to be inflammatory but it borders on freefall. Jonathan our price has been hammered, particularly over the last few months. 4. 8146 on a 10 year maturity. Lisa a what is the Circuit Breaker . It is not coming from washington, d. C. This not look like there will be a resol...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024

Tom it is a mugshot of in yield and it is very technically elegant. Dean curnutt to start is strong in the 6 00. He will talk about that. A massive correlation in currency markets. Jonathan yields of, dollar stronger . Tom dollar stronger but it is the way the dollar is stronger. Maybe the japanese are fighting to keep the yen off of 1. 50. The answer is markets are moving. Tom can this equity markets jonathan can this equity market lived with it . Equities could work in a hybrid environment. The s p 500 returned 15 every year from 1985 to 2005. When will rates were 2. 5 , can we live with the...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024

Thermometer but the correlation to equities bonds is really rich. The team leave for me on a monday morning is i see japanese yen just creeping ever so slight. It is just a bit of a weakness. Jonathan 149. 74 at the moment. We averted a shut down and we will get payrolls friday. Ultimately we will do this again. Lisa i cant wait until november when we can do it all again. What i find interesting is the threat of higher rates and the lack of economic weakness on the heels of a Government Shutdown is what is spurring the concern in markets today. All of the sudden people are taken the bond who s...