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Districts that will be so hard for republicans to hold. >> and here is my question when you get to the races like this. is this a post kavanaugh effect where districts like this that you're looking at here, the suburbs of washington, d.c., a place hillary clinton won by 10 points in 2016, is it so strong that you're going to get a series of giant blue waves in districts like this. the question i have, though, is when you go to the next level of district, a place where donald trump maybe did better in 2016, maybe won it by a five to eight margin, those places where they've been getting a lot of...

Something interesting a potential divergence. another new poll is in the iron range of minnesota, the eighth district of minnesota, diuluth and the iron range, the democrats not running again. one of those districts that went obama, trump, held by a democrat. over the summer this was a dead even race. this has broken in a big way for the republicans. >> what's happened? >> kavanaugh effect. i wonder if you're seeing -- this is trump country. this is white working class. this is blew collar. trump demographics we're always talking about. we're seeing a big shift towards the republican just like...

Obviously, because for this niche it's so important for donald trump to have adoration from any front. look at chicago. i know. look at what he did when he started talking about beating people up. whenever donald trump starts to feel the energy go down -- >> spotlight turned away. >> he's an action junky. >> he goes crazy and becomes more intemperament and starts talk about beating people up and i'll pay for your legal bills if you beat them up. so perhaps we have that. >> can i make this point about his effectiveness at these rallies. he said last night that kavanaugh would not have been conf...

Out between republicans and democrats ahead of the midterms in 22 days are dems getting nervous for another election disaster? joining us right now to break down the numbers. former polster for the cruz campaign and ceo chris wilson. overall the kavanaugh effect is lasting, it seems. >> it is. you see republican enthusiasm has matched and some cases even exceeded where democrats have been throughout the entire election cycle. brian: i know you ted cruz and you understand what it's like for donald trump and going to bat. the president says make it about me. 34 rallies deep into it this week. is...

Hanging. >> so there it is. this is interesting because republicans felt over the summer they had polls shows fitzpatrick their incumbent leading, they thought democrats had made a big mistake nominating this candidate, didn't even live in the district until recently, but it may be that that suburban energy to go after trump is so strong it overrides everything here. >> the one thing i've been in thing in the upshot polling, during kavanaugh and post kavanaugh every race was breaking republican. i think we are getting -- we've all said that that post kavanaugh high that republicans felt, that ...