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Numbers we're about to show you are rigged. our new survey monkey poll showing hillary clinton with a 5-point lead over donald trump. we're joined by mark murray. also joined by larry saab toe, who is editor in chief of the famous crystal ball. mark, let's start with you. . this reality check when it comes to donald trump's poll numbers. what do we know? >> the polls have been incredibly consistent and stable for donald trump over the past year that we have been looking at this presidential contest. that should break things down. in january of 2016, so before the ballots were cast in iowa and ...

You saw the chamber of commerce wing of the party rising up. folks interested in governing, defending off challenges from the far right. at the end of the day, they're totally focused on winning. that's what's been missing from the tea party equation. >> larry, i ask you the overarching question, is the tea party candidate diminished, is it dead? >> it's still a piece of the republican party. america is an incredibly diverse country demographically and in terms of political factions, both parties are coalition parties. the republicans need the tea party people. they need the evangelical christ...

For republicans in georgia the road to the u.s. senate will run through two fairly traditional candidates. david purdue will battle jack kingston. voters giving the boot to the tea party candidates who are in the running. that's a bit of a switch for a state that's been home to one of the most conservative voting records in the past five years. this is tea party country after all. here to talk about that, larry saab toe, director of the university of virginia center for politics and john avlon from "the daily beast." welcome, gentlemen. >> good morning, carol. >> larry, i would like to start w...

Average people. after you get hit on the head with a two-by-four two or three times in a row, i think they learned from some of the mistakes that republican electorates made in 2010 and 2012. they have chosen in georgia and also in kentucky the candidates most likely to win in the fall. that's what parties are supposed to do in their nominating process. >> john, what struck me now -- and i hear you, larry -- but it seemed like the establishment republican candidates in georgia running talked more like tea party candidates. was it a little bit of that, too, john? >> i think the quote, unquote, ...

This photo of the former candidate putting gas in his car has gone viral overnight. regular guy mitt, a as soon as possible shot like this might have helped him out during a little campaign, a little human behavior that a lot of people weren't sure he actually took part in. instead, we have this quote from political analyst larry saab toe. i just don't think romney ever established an emotional connection with much of anybody in the party. he was essentially a cyborg designed to win the presidenty and when he failed, he was placed in a disposal bin. that's cold. up next, hillary clinton is i...