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Political analyst. let's see how long we agree. there are several possible outcomes. there's two states. how many outcomes can there be from the votes tonight in mississippi and alabama. first, let's say santorum wins both tonight. if that happens, that means newt gets blown out of the race, i think. and santorum secures the position of clearly number-one challenger to mitt romney. let's stop. here's another possibility. gingrich could win both tonight. he's from that area. he's from georgia. that could hit santorum, which helps romney. it keeps him in the race. third, you could have a gingric...

Listen to the logic and then you respond. let's watch. >> i think gingrich has shown no ability to get votes outside the state of georgia. and that's really -- those primaries are over. they will have had had their primaries. illinois is next. the polls there showing romney now running in a dead heat race. and whether he does well or not, i don't think it's going to matter much. he's just not attracting votes anywhere else. it would be great if he would get out of the race. clearly, the vast majority of the votes that he's taking are coming from me. >> how do you handle that, kelly ann? the fa...

Polls close in misand alabama in one hour, 8:00 eastern and msnbc will bring you up-to-the-minute coverage as votes come in. at 11:00 p.m. eastern, we'll have a full wrap-up of the day's voting on "the ed show." >> chuck todd is political editor and michael steel, former republican party. there are several possible outcomes, there's two states, how many outcomes can there be from the votes tonight in mississippi and alabama? first, let's say santorum wins both tonight. if that happens, that means newt gets blown out of the race, i think. and santorum secures the position of clearly number-one ...

By the way let's not overlook the fact if mitt romney wins one of these two states, he will say you guys were saying i didn't do anything in the south i am i've now done something in the south that will be important if he's able to pull that off. so that is a very important thing for mitt romney we shouldn't lose sight of, but still possible he won't end up at the end of june with 1144 delegates, at which point how many ever delegates newt gingrich has amassed, it could be a few hundred, could be crucial and he's in a position to do a deal with mitt romney. >> that is what i smell coming. down...

I love that. you must have put that on there. let's go to jackson, mississippi. the beautiful downtown. how is it going to go tonight? let's talk about this. there's a pattern that's emerged here tonight. romney can't seem to break, whether it's his lds religion. look at the numbers. show them again. we have them in green. 28%, 26%, 28%, 26%. he can't break high numbers. >> he might make it to 30. i think he's been the underdog. he was down 30 points a month ago. he could very well win it in mississippi. i think people would be astounded to see him do that. >> what about all this y'all crap of...