Lauren goodwin, senior director of multiasset mfrl strategy. Lauren, good to see you. Good to be here thanks for having me, mike want to go back to just about a month ago right before the previous cpi report, right july 12th. The s p 500 within 1 of where it is right now and the 10year treasury yield at 4 where it is right now. When we got it, it was a bit of a kickstart for the late july rally and now weve given it back what is the status right now in your mind of the landing and the economic scenario and how much of that the market can benefit from or potentially have the market learned pretty good information from the last Inflation Report from june that we saw in july which was the disinflationary process has moved from an early stage to a more stable one and that is one where the fed is not done hiking and investors can be excited about the potential for a soft landing. I think its a little bit of a false start because until unemployment claims start durably rising, that narrative
In focus as we are dropping below or have dropped below 4 we want to Pay Attention to that the vix moving around 18 some Movement Something we havent seen in a while. When looking at the sectors, tech and financials which really the biggest laggards of course we have the big cut from moodys today we want to dig into the financials red across the board after the firm cut Credit Ratings for a number of these banks. 10 small and mid sized banks also put a number of others on watch. Im going to start, i believe you own u. S. Bank corp, one of the names on the watch, why are we seeing so much bloodshed today . Of all the concerns that moodys list none of these are particularly new this is old news. They should have come out in the First Quarter when we had the debacle with the banks youre seeing a shortterm reaction where you probably have a bunch of the you know, the computer funds thats what i was going to ask. Selling short on the financials you get the regionals. But all this was mentio
Italys Prime Minister said it would derive from properties on h derived from higher Interest Rates. The net income exsceeding the growth for 2022 and 2023 citi estimated that would be equal to 19 of bank net profits for the year the tax would only apply to domestic Net Interest Income if this were to happen in the United States it is not happening i know. I dont know what would happen to the world. It is like when hell freezes over scenario. 40 windfall profit tax on banks. Do you think this is such a game changer that you would ever be in business in italy ever again . I think they view banks as utilities in italy i think investors will think about Certain Industries now at the beck on call of the government it can be wiped out just like that it changes your money. Chinese communist out of nowhere with the Tech Companies in china the trading Certain Industries. In other bank news, moodys cutting ratings with several banks and downgrading the biggest lenders. The credit strengths will
Good evening the top stories this hour. Bloomberg learns the u. S. Is set to limit its scope. U. S. Stocks slip on worries about the economy and financial system. Moodys downgrades 10 smaller lenders. They did finish off session lows, the s p 500 lost more than 1 at one point and it recouped half of the losses. We had a haven demand not to mention moves despite the fact we are bracing for the 100 billion wave of options but have to be digested this week. Take a look at crude prices down. 2 after gaining ground in the new york session. We heard from the ukrainian president talking about retaliation and russia continues to block the reports. Its all about the after our session. Look at the bank because we are looking at huge losses. That overshadowed better than expected outlook for earnings that had seen the stock rally earlier on. Supply Chain Disruption said ease, but they expect heavy losses to continue as a boost production and we work plunging. Doubt about their ability to continue
Down about 118 points, nasdaq opening down about 117 points. S p 500 off by 16 points right now. Take a look at treasury yields. The 10year at. 93. The 2year at 2. 863. And crypto prices. Weve been talking about crypto quite a bit these days. Up about 4 this morning. Its crazy. And take a look at ether etf. Thats surging too meantime apple is canceling its electric vehicle product. That thats accordinging to those that know. Many employees will be shifted to the Artificial Intelligence division. Apples ceo apple and ceo tim cook have never acknowledged the electric car publicly but referred to working on e autonomous systems. Theyve never been open about this but are now scrapping it. People are looking at it as a major failure. I dont look at it that way. I think what was happening is there was an internal battle inside apple whether to even go this route and i think tim cook was always on the fence. You mean a failure for evs, not just apple. I think the failure of evs right now has