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Look, this is baseball, not basketball. there's no shot clock in the conclave. they go until they cross that magic threshold, 77 votes. and they feel pressure to do this quickly for two reasons, one, they want to have it wrapped up before holy week begins march 24th. if we're still on this platform on saturday, we know what the story is going to be, gridlock you paralysis and infighting. you can imagine the crawl, infighting. and that's the story that the cardinals don't want to tell the world. >> we did know that there was a little bit of tension, right? that the foreigners, the cardinals tha...

Dolan from new york. one much those four guys wins is anybody's guess. i think all four of them are getting a serious look from the 115 cardinals who will file into the sistine chapel and start picking a hope. as i recall, it wasn't the top guy or the runaway favorite. these things do develop, john. sort of on to the politics of this. do you think there is division over potential candidates and why? >> of course there's division. we're talking about 115 guys at the top of their profession, all of whom have strong ideas about which way the church out to go. i think they came to rome week and ...

Here. in the south, 60 or 70 degrees. we do have a treat in store for us. >> a nice little warmup. it's going to be a slushy mess, though. all right. it's getting closer. the vote to elect a new pope just days away now. the vatican now says the conclave will begin on tuesday. let's go straight to rome and our senior vatican analyst. even though the conclave starts on tuesday it will take time to hear the verdict. who becomes the new hopope to s that white smoke, right? >> yeah, that's absolutely right. the way this conclave works is that in order to be elected pope, a candidate has to get two-...

Two years. prior to that he was speaker of the house in florida, representing -- representing a district in miami. >> with regard to the percentages, i know you are not a pollster, but they say that mitt romney needs to gain at least 35% of the latino vote to have a chance of this election. >> maybe little too late and i think that number came from george w. bush gaining 35% of the latino vote, the last time he was elected. and so that seems to be kind of a magic threshold and you can't win the general election with less than 35% of the latino vote. looking like he can't get to that -- to that...

Supporters of the tea party or very conservative voters. these are voters where he hasn't done much better than getting roughly a third of them going back and looking at pretty much all of the states we've been through thus far. he's had a rash of endorsements over the past two weeks from some of the leading lights in terms of elected official officials among the tea party. it will be interesting to see if that endorsement and support translates into votes at the polls. jon: the math doesn't look too good for rick santorum. he would have to get 80% of the delegates in every contest from here o...