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This tiny county says actually occurred. >> so, i think it went from 2 to 22 or something, but you've got to wonder, the iowa republican party is saying, no matter what happens, when they do official tally, they're confident things will stay the same. how does that math add up? >> right. a couple things are worth noting. one, you're right that the iowa republican party has said it won't comment any further. privately it seems they believe that whatever the outcome, it's not going to change the ultimate outcome of the caucus. they seem to believe mitt romney will remain the winner. a couple thi...

>> now, on the republican side, what's amazing to me is that there's not more exposure of the fantasy that republicans have as a party, about the fact that we're going to double the number of people on social security and medicare as the boomers are all starting to retire. you can't double the number of folks if those programs, even if you slow their growth, which i would say has to be done, without taxes being higher than their historic rates. but the republicans won't give that up. it's worked politically since reagan for them. will anything change their mind on how to make the math add up? ...

Plausible map towards 270. it's also where unemployment was quite profound too. he'll be spending a lot of time there. it's kind of his home region as well, it's not a coincidence at all, of course not. >> richard wolffe of msnbc, ari berman, author of "hurting donkeys" and nate silver with "the new york times," thank you all for joining me tonight. paul ryan's republican plan to balance the budget doesn't actually balance the budget for nearly 50 years. oh, yeah, and it adds more than $60 trillion to the national debt. why don't the message and the math add up? i'm joined by ezra klein next...

That's where elections are won and lost. if obama wins most of those states in the upper midwest, republicans don't have a plausible map towards 270. it's also where unemployment was quite profound too. he'll be spending a lot of time there. it's kind of his home region as well, it's not a coincidence at all, of course not. >> richard wolffe of msnbc, ari berman, author of "hurting donkeys" and nate silver with "the new york times," thank you all for joining me tonight. paul ryan's republican plan to balance the budget doesn't actually balance the budget for nearly 50 years. oh, yeah, and it...

It's also where unemployment was quite profound too. he'll be spending a lot of time there. it's kind of his home region as well, it's not a coincidence at all, of course not. >> richard wolffe of msnbc, ari berman, author of "hurting donkeys" and nate silver with "the new york times," thank you all for joining me tonight. paul ryan's republican plan to balance the budget doesn't actually balance the budget for nearly 50 years. oh, yeah, and it adds more than $60 trillion to the national debt. why don't the message and the math add up? i'm joined by ezra klein next. and megan mccain gets t...