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Smart, florida's vote, republicans and democrats are pomi in polling about the same, 42-42, 39-40. look at north carolina, republicans accounted for 50% of all absentee vote in 2012. now it's closer. it's proof that it looks like the democrats have the mechanic advantage. >> all of our modelling in presidential politics, two equal campaigns. we have never had a situation where the trump campaign doesn't have much of an organization. it's more of a concert tour. what are the implications of that? some have argued as trump did in the primary, it doesn't matter. we're going to see the first test ...

Smart, florida's vote, republicans and democrats are polling about the same, 42-42, 39-40. about the same. look at these north carolina numbers. republicans accounted for 50% of all absentee vote in 2012. democrats accounted for 38%. now it's 42-45. it's proof that it looks like the democrats have the mechanic advantage. >> all of our modelling in presidential politics, two equal campaigns. we have never had a situation where the trump campaign doesn't have much of an organization. it's more of a concert tour. what are the implications of that? some have argued as trump did in the primary, it ...