Page 2 - Model Runs News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

We want to emphasize that the track is starting to shift to the west, compared to previous model runs. right now, miami is not in the cone. some of the northern suburbs are. but west palm, melbourne, daytona beach are in that cone. and it takes the northward turn. where does it make landfall? does it get close enough to florida to make landfall there? or does it have to go farther north into south carolina or north carolina, before finally making a landfall. then, it starts to head back out to sea at that point. hurricane warnings for western florida. ten the blue color that was headed, tropic...

It will turn north. so that becomes a question of what impacts are there to a place like florida. and in any subsequent area such as georgia and the carolinas as it continues up the east coast. brand new at the top of this hour, we now have hurricane watches and hurricane warning just along the east corner of portions of florida. we have already had the hurricane warnings across portions of the bahamas, that is going to stay. we are likely to see more hurricane watches, tropical storm warnings and things like that begin to to expand up the east coast of florida, perhaps even into other states ...

Or another but when that 50 miles means making a direct impact on florida or not there are big impacts one way or another. this was hurricane matthew a few years ago and the forecast, all the guidance was saying it would go up florida in land. it ended up skirting just offshore sparing florida and causing hurt in the carolinas. this is a similar possible scenario with the storm and it is moving to the west, a lot of good agreement on that westerly track in the short term. where it makes that turn we don't have great agreement between our models, don't have great agreement between each model ru...

Towards south carolina. right now the national hurricane center isn't jumping on that and we totally agree and concur because we need more model runs and consistency. put the two together and what do you have as a scenario? almost like matthew which caused historic flooding in the carolinas. we still have landfall. this is the new track. now it goes straight up inland along the eastern coastline and that could be catastrophic because of the population to feed the system with heavy rainfall. keep in mind florida has had an incredibly wet year, especially this month of august, so it's s saturate...

Florida coast ahead of dorian. we start with cnn meteorologist allison chinchar. so dorian's newest track will come out within the hour. what do you expect to see. >> we may see a change in that track. we've had new model runs come out for both the american and european model and both of them showing changes which may in turn result in an official track change from the national hurricane center. but here is what we know now. hurricane dorian winds at 115 miles per hour. that officially makes it a major hurricane. the movement is still to the northwest at about 10 miles per hour. we're going to...