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there more pain ahead? less as jason chairman stuart ceo of strategic strategy firm. a welcome here and happy new year to you. so, i think after this a dreadful year in the markets, are we going to see some relief in 2023? was paul i m not so sure. i think for some higher-quality companies that can generate their own cash i think it might be a better year. i also think there s a lot of froth there s a lot of annual spirits treated by free money during the culvert era. we are in for another difficult year in my opinion. especially for companies that do not have a lot in the way of profits or cash flow. paul: your political analyst dan clifton who i follow, he argues the year after a midterm election is usually very good for stocks, historically speaking. why could this should be different? well i think this could be a little bit different because normally in a presidential election cycle, administration take the hit earlybird to make the hard decision early in the grea ....
It s a tough thing to predict. but people have been predicting it for many months and we still do not see it. yes, i think the chances of a recession are quite high. we put them at something at three and four. it s hard to engineer a soft landing once inflation hit over 8% for it is now about 7%. very, very difficult to nuance this are very blunt instruments. because the economy is resilient i think it would be unwise to think the fed is going to stop tightening. we are of the belief the fed is going to remain tight for monetary policy perspective through 2023 and perhaps into 2024. i would like to be bullish i would like to be optimistic but we still have i think some rough sledding ahead of us. paul: interesting. one of the things that surprised me so far in this interest rate ....