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Match the bush numbers to win? >> it will be a little dynamic i think. i hope it is not that close. i think it will be a narrow victory. i think time around governor romney has the opportunity to get a lot of support from folks who supported barack obama last time who live near some of the big cities like cincinnati, cleveland, columbus who thought i would want to give this guy a chance. they have given him a chance and it hasn't worked. they have seen the results. we've seen unemployment go up. here in ohio poverty rates go up. food stamps go up. the kinds of things that indicate we're not he...

Where you need to overperform to win? or is it somewhere else in ohio? >> no, southwest ohio is area you need to do well as a republican. again i've been in a lot of victory centers this part of ohio where i'm from, where you're from, enthusiasm is unbelievable. we're having people show up make phone calls who have never been in politics before. we made three times more phone calls than 2008. we knocked on 20 win times more doors than 2008. i see enthusiasm here. i think we'll get turnout in southwest ohio to be good for us. frankly the other side is having tough time getting turnout they had ...

There could easily be two or three feet of snow and 60 mile-an-hour winds. that part of the storm can not be overlooked. people shouldn't take this lightly. it is definitely the real deal and something we haven't seen in a long time. martha: good luck to you, reed as you document this and everybody in the path. we wish everybody well. >> thank you. martha: read it. immer. bill: over the past six months i've been traveling across the country and especially the ohio battleground state talking to voters in several key counties for the 2012 race. i started out in stark county, northeastern ohio, c...

Different hoops and jumps and black flips to show how it can be done but serves to illustrate ohio, it is unbelievably important. bill: brian thomas, 55 krc, local radio here in cincinnati. what he talks about is the significance of this state and we're really trying to balance two stories throughout the day today and tuesday and wednesday of this week. as we do that with sandy on one corner and this election eight days away on the other, larry sabato is with me now from the university of virginia. sir, good morning to you. first question about sandy. virginia, north carolina, what is your gue...

Surrogates on ohio. and so of course have the obama people. look you're standing at ground zero, bill. i know you're a native ohio and think you're a native cincinnati and that is ground zero in ohio, ohio. and, bill, you know this, ohio is played this role since the 19th century. it is incredible how often our close presidential elections come down to ohio. bill: yeah, we were in touch with the romney team over the weekend. what they really like to brag about, professor, that that poll showed them up 18 points among independents. that is really given them encouragement throughout the state he...