2020 NFL Win Forecasts: Week 17
2020 NFL Win Forecasts: Week 17 Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports This is an exercise in building a simple blind predictive model based on a team’s historical stats in 4 areas: pass and rush efficiency, and avg EPA for special teams and penalties. The season-long experiment will track how well future games are determined by past statistical performance and compare that record against Vegas betting lines. All data used originates from RESULTS Like the Colts, my model faded in week 16. After the Vegas lines settled, the only upset pick I had was TEN over GB by 1 and I was only off by 27 po...
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