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Political analyst. let's see how long we agree. there are several possible outcomes. there's two states. how many outcomes can there be from the votes tonight in mississippi and alabama. first, let's say santorum wins both tonight. if that happens, that means newt gets blown out of the race, i think. and santorum secures the position of clearly number-one challenger to mitt romney. let's stop. here's another possibility. gingrich could win both tonight. he's from that area. he's from georgia. that could hit santorum, which helps romney. it keeps him in the race. third, you could have a gingric...

What a big state that's going to be. then louisiana next saturday. we have a new poll from louisiana. let's check the "hardball" score board. rick santorum a four-point lead over mitt romney in the new wwl poll with newt a close third. that's in louisiana. and louisiana is keeping up with the pattern we have seen elsewhere. romney is doing well in the big city suburbs while santorum and gingrich are stronger in the rest of the state. that makes sense. we'll be right back. [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. omnipotent of opportunity.

Edge. after all -- >> would you like to see newt gingrich president? >> i picked my candidate. >> if it was newt versus the president, who would you vote for? >> newt. >> not me. >> you're not faking your accent either. i can tell. senator john bro and trent lot. you're watching "hardball," only on msnbc. [ male announcer ] to the 5:00 a.m. scholar. the two trains and a bus rider. the "i'll sleep when it's done" academic.

Super pac, his crowd of his and number two, him, and third is newt gingrich. let me go back to -- >> i think newt is number one. newt has beenone. he has been the blocking back as paul -- >> why is he running? he will never be nominated. >> he has been running, this was about fixing his image. i think this was a statesmanship play. a little about he was tired of being put on the fringes, this is getting back in to being a statesmen in the republican party. >> the question isn't why is he running, the question is why would he get out? he noohas no need. he'll get more delegates. >> it's earning...

Polls in alabama and mississippi will be closed in a few minutes. we'll check back right now with chuck todd, howard fineman and alex wagner. you get in the boxes ring, the reason it's interesting is there is two in the ring. can we get to two in the ring? >> the only way is if newt finishes third in both. that would be an embarrassing defeat. >> sweet home alabama. >> howard, i want it to happen, i want a boxes match, i'm tired of the crapola. i want a race between two candidates, can it happen tonight? >> chris, newt gingrich has shown his level of embarrassmen, tolerance for embarrassment i...