CNN Fareed Zakaria GPS October 25, 2015 17:31:00
So they gave precisely quantified forecasts. predicting when it would happen and giving numeric probabilities. what's interesting, he says, is that predicting is a skill that can be honed. and anyone with a fair amount of intelligence can develop it with practice. he and his team identified some of the best forecasters' common traits. they tend to be open minded, considering information from lots of different sources. they embrace nuance, qualifying their assertions carefully, and they work well with others, disagreeing with people without being disagreeable to foster a healthy debate. many po...
Source: archive.org