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Going to be important or lead to an important role for the oneida party, the awakening as it's called in tunisia. the muslim brotherhood is probably going to do fairly well but not win outright in egypt elections begin in november, and libya still has to come to grips with an election schedule there. the bigger danger in some ways is the diversity in these societies whether it's sectarian differences or tribal and clan differences. libya has 140 different tribes or clans, 30 of which are important be. jenna: wow. >> and this is a moment that you have to bring together diverse elements of socie...

Jenna: we've watch for that, doug, thank you very much. jon: right now the republican party is looking for a presidential nominee for 2012 of course. one man says the former massachusetts governor mitt romney is the front runner despite a lack of support from wide swaths of the party and really all he has to do is become the nominee is simply hold on. stuart rothenberg. he joins us now. a columnist for "roll call" and editor of the rothenburg political report. he has to hold on you say? not make any mistakes? is that what you mean? >> essentially has to follow the john mccain strategy, talk co...

Conservative, no conservative with deep roots in the party emerges as his alternative much as what happened to john mccain. conservatives didn't embrace john mccain. they just accepted him at the end of the day. jon: most observers say romney is much better candidate this time around than last time around. do you agree? >> he is better candidate. he is comfortable in the debates. he performs very well in the debates. he has his message down. look what he did to rick perry on immigration. he has done his job. much of the party, look at polls, he gets a quarter of the vote in almost every survey...