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Trump approval, meanwhile, under water, 57% disapproving of trump in a new cnn poll. that could be dragging down republicans, at least in some parts of the country. trump won florida, for example, but andrew gillum is leading his republican opponent by four points right now, in that governor's race. same margin in florida's senate race. and mclaire mccaskill up three points in missouri. but here's what many play down about polls that close. all those leads are within the margin of error. so they're basically toss-ups. while some democrats are projecting confidence, other are urging caution. i ...

>> not confident but optimistic. >> i deeply feel that 2016 overconfidence. i deeply feel that. optimistic, but i worry that anything short of, like, the biggest blue wave that's ever happened will be perceived as being, oh, well, you can't -- trump can't do anything too disgusting to turn off his base. it becomes a reinforcement of trump. republicans have already conceded the fact they are the party of trump, those who are willing to not be 100% on board with him have basically retired. now the ads they're running at the end are two align themselves closer with the worst part of his rhetoric ...

Post" had an article talking about how democrats and republicans are confident that their party will prevail. we heard what nancy pelosi said. she said we will win. we, the democrats, will win. also, there was a poll that the "the washington post" put out will democrats take control of the house? and 51 percent said yes. 49 percent said no. do you agree with that? do you think that democrat are confident that they will win or should they be confident? i know you feel like in the senate republicans are going to win. but what about the house? >> democrats have been extremely confident. in 2014 t...

The national movement doesn't take it that seriously, even as the national progressive movement sees him as very serious. do you think there's a little bit of overconfidence on the right? >> it may be, i take a knock on exceptionali exceptionalism. what's happening in texas is similar to the rest of the country. texas has a few huge cities as well as suburbs which are trending in a liberal direction and separating from the rural counties that are much more republican leaning. just to connect it to a earlier discussion, that's one of the causes of our political and cultural divide. this huge ga...

Terms of control whether democrats win by 1 or 30. >> well, anyone who says they know what's going to happen on election night two weeks from now i think is probably being somewhat -- somewhat disingenuous. i think this a very, very uncertain environment here. and i do think that the overconfidence would not be a good strategy for the democrats. particularly as you see republican enthusiasm ticking up. now, again, what we don't know are about these -- these voters who may be coming to the polls for the very first time. this may, in fact, make a lot of the public polling we're seeing completely...