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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield 20240714

Fears about a u. S. Recession are not showing in this report. Very hard to get a recession in the next 12 months. Higher wages. The labor market is holding in. We were worried about manufacturing and we saw the numbers are hanging fine. The jury is out in the manufacturing sector. Maybe there are some budding signs of some weakness in the employment sector at the fringes. The question is where it goes from here. Jonathan joining me around the table, my guest. If the payroll report doesnt change what you sour carless of what you thought going into the payrolls report, not a game changer, is it . Is basically confirming status quote for the fed. Theyre on track to cut a five basis points at the september meeting. The real question for me this morning, if it turns out to beweak after the manufacturing data earlier this week, will the market press . There is no fear of that. The pace of job creation is declining. 220,000 jobs per month last year and now its more like 160 per month. Jonatha

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield 20240714

Cycle. Fears about a u. S. Recession are not showing in this report. Very hard to get a recession in the next 12 months. Higher wages. The labor market is holding in. We were worried about manufacturing and we saw the numbers are hanging fine. The jury is out in the manufacturing sector. Maybe there are some budding signs of some weakness in the employment sector at the fringes. The question is where it goes from here. Jonathan joining me around the table, my guests. If the payroll report doesnt change what you sour carless of what you thought going into the payrolls report, not a game changer, is it . Is basically confirming status quote for the fed. Theyre on track to cut a five basis points at the september meeting. The real question for me this orning, if it turns out to be weak after the weak manufacturing data earlier this week, will the market press . There is no fear of that. The pace of job creation is declining. You had 220,000 jobs per month last year and now its more like 1

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield 20240714

Would expect at this late cycle. Fears about a u. S. Recession are just not showing up in this report at all. Very hard to get a recession in the next 12 months. You got higher wages and hours trending up. The labor market is holding in. We were worried about manufacturing hours worked and we saw the numbers are hanging fine. The jury is out in the manufacturing sector. Uncertainty is enormous on many fronts. Maybe there are some budding signs of some weakness in the employment sector at the fringes. The question is where it goes the uncertainty goes from here. Jonathan joining me around the table, my guests. For me, the biggest problem with , it doesnt report i change what you sour carless of what you thought going into the payrolls report, not a game changer, is it . It is basically confirming status quote for the fed. Theyre on track to cut 25 basis points at the september meeting. The real question for me this morning, if it turns out to be weak after the manufacturing data earlier

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield 20240714

Still well above what you would expect at this late cycle. Fears about a u. S. Recession are not showing in this report. Very hard to get a recession in the next 12 months. Higher wages. The labor market is holding in. We were worried about manufacturing and we saw the numbers are hanging fine. The jury is out in the manufacturing sector. Budding there are some signs of some weakness in the employment sector at the fringes. The question is where it goes from here. Jonathan joining me around the table, my guest. Guests. If the payroll report doesnt change what you sour carless of what you thought going into the payrolls report, not a game changer, is it . Is basically confirming status quote for the fed. Theyre on track to cut a five basis points at the september meeting. The real question for me this morning, if it turns out to beweak after the manufacturing data earlier this week, will the market press . There is no fear of that. The pace of job creation is declining. Year00 jobs per

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield 20240714

Slowing economy. Still well above what you would expect at this late cycle. Fears about a u. S. Recession are not showing in this report. Very hard to get a recession in the next 12 months. You have got higher wages, hours trending up. The labor market is holding in. We were worried about manufacturing hours worked and we saw the numbers are hanging fine. The jury is out in the manufacturing sector. Uncertainty is on so many fronts. Maybe there are some budding signs of some weakness in the employment sector at the fringes. The question is where the uncertainty goes from here. Jonathan joining me around the table, my guests. The payrolls report does nothing to change what you thought regardless of what you thought going into the payrolls report, not a game changer, is it . Subadra is basically confirming status quote for the fed. They are on track to cut 25 basis points at the september meeting. The real question for me this morning, if it turns out to be weak after the manufacturing d

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