Page 16 - Plus 5 News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

People i know about politics, and i'm very curious about what specific races you are individually going to be looking at. like, if i had to ask you, what's one race you're looking at to see how the night is going to go, let's start with you, senator. >> yeah, it's pennsylvania 4, which is incumbent member scott perry. remember, pennsylvania got redistricted, and so i picked that race because it's actually a blend. he has 45% new district. so it's like are running in an seat and 55% incumbent district. so i think it points out, it's got the city of harrisburg, the city of york, it's got some ru...

How the night is going to go, let's start with you, senator. >> pennsylvania 4, which is incumbent member scott perry. pennsylvania got redistricted so i picked that race because it's a blend. he has 45% new district, so it's like running in an open seat, and 55% incumbent district. so i think it does -- it points out it's got the city of harrisburg, the city of york. it's got some rural areas, suburban harrisburg areas. a pretty good microcosm, and he -- it went from a plus-9 district to a plus 5 or 6 district. the margin of error is up two points in the latest poll i have seen. he got caught...

Click or visit a retail store today. ♪ >> sean: one week from today and some races are down to the wire. as of today, real clear politics map has democrats up 5 in the house. that's's how close it is. joining us now to help explain where things stand, former clinton pollster doug schoen. former trump campaign pollsters john mclachlan. doug, you were on with me, it's what the polls show. 32, what we say toss ups in the country. you told me just a couple ofin days ago, you said democrats plus 5. tonight, if the election were held today, i think you're right. i think the democrats would get the...

That, democrats are probably winning districts in the five-point range. winning a few that are 10 points and so on. that's a great poll for democrats in the house. almost two different elections going on. >> you look at the poll and it's 23 net. they picked up 23 seats and you look at the poll like that and competitive and republican-leaning districts and the democrats think there is at least 23. there should be 30 for the democrats. >> in a poll like that, that brings up something like one or two races. at some point people cut money off. you have seen it in a couple of races. the nrcc and th...

Now until election day. >> it is a life time in politics. i think that is such an important point. people are talking about, well, the polls today she energy and enthusiasm about kavanaugh. number one, voters normally don't vote on the democratic side on the supreme court. that may change in four weeks. four weeks is a lifetime. and so we have to be very careful. when clients will ask me, what's going to happen? nobody knows. we've never been in this position before. >> dana: three to four weeks you saw the ballot plus 14 for democrats. now narrowed to plus 5. >> the enthusiasm gap narrowed al...