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Races, nevada and texas. the states represent democrats best shot, nevada and its dream shot texas. first if democrats have any hope of cutting into the republican senate majority of 51/49 this fall they need to defeat senator dean heller in nevada a state hillary won by two points. helder, an incumbent faces jackie rosen, who raised over $7 million in the last three months. there she is. in a brand new nbc poll, heller has a lead over rosen. however, the most recent polls shows rosen with a two point edge. meanwhile in texas, beta

And bad polling have seen numbers improved in the last few weeks. i think a lot of decisions were made in 2017. you may see more members decided to stick around. >> now let's look at that. there's a pole, it says if you want to vote for a generic candidate look at the difference. now, it is pretty close. only two points apart, 47 - 45. but too much ago, 15 points apart. it is kind of close but i would people still expecting democratic wave. >> is a huge difference. that suggests they are likely to hold the house. democrats are hoping to get double digit edge on the generic ballot. we see a pol...

Between 3 and 6 points. let's look at our latest poll of polls, and average of seven most recent polls. 46% for clinton, 42% for trump. it's a state by state battle. let's look at where the candidates were spending their final day on the trail. let's start with michigan, which saw both hillary clinton and donald trump there today. our last poll, 42%, to 38%. a four point edge for hillary clinton in that michigan poll. up to new hampshire which saw a lot of campaign trail activity today. including for president obama and donald trump. 44% to 41%. 3 point edge in the new hampshire poll of polls....

He'd be at 265. i showed you a new hampshire poll, that is one place for him to go. that gets him to 269. and that colorado poll is a possibility. nine electoral votes here. as his path begins to widen a little bit, north carolina may be a big, big road block. 46% edge to 42%. sorry, four-point edge. 46 to 42 clinton over trump. if she can block donald trump in north carolina, the state where both donald trump and hillary clinton will be today, that could effectively block him from 270 electoral votes. >> all right, david, let's put some more meat on the bones. stay with us. we have two new na...

A swing towards clinton. everyone is points. what's driving it? gender gap, women defecting from donald trump. 19 point edge for hillary clinton in this fox news national poll among female likely voters. a 19 point edge for secretary clinton. that as huge deal and even a bigger deal when you break it down and take a closer look at why it's happening. just again in the last week donald trump has lost 12 points among women aged 45 and older. ten points among suburban women. seven points among white women with college degrees and six points mock women who describe themselves as republicans. donal...