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He writes among liberals it's almost universally assumed that of the two major parties, it's republicans who have become more extreme over the years. that's a self flattering but false narrative. on most major issues the republican party hasn't moved very much from where it was during the gingrich era. to see how are far the democratic party has moved to the left compare barack obama with bill clinton. mr. clinton acted on a lesson learned the hard way and moved his party more to the center are on fiscal policy welfare, crime, foreign policy. many democrats believe they are rising a tide of pr...

Governor romney has been leading among independents. nationwide virtually every poll governor romney has about been winning against president obama. if he's leading by one point and he's been leading by an average of seven, it shifts the election. again the biggest component here is what does the matrix of the election look like? demographically the obama campaign is counting on white turn out dropping from 74% of the total in 2008 to 72%. as recently as 2004 it was 77% and indications are it's going to be a bigger percentage this time around than last. what is the political matrix? last name ...

Where does that go? >> i think you are looking at something that would top out at 2 or 3 point shift. strong base around 45 or 46% 10% not paying attention to either candidate not paying attention. only 13% of the voters are following the campaign now. it may be monday or tuesday before they're even away that paul ryan is the nominee. what's also going to be interesting as you look at and this watched this rolled thought definition is the responses that republicans begin to give to their budget plans and budget challenges that will shaper accepts of where this is heading. >> scott, back to you...

Bad as it is, with the economy as bad as it is, with this white house bungling politically as badly as it has, it's hard to find democrats, privately, who will now defend this administration and how they've handled things. for the republican party to be that low suggests we are -- somebody said change of names. suggests that we're really reaching a moment of truth for the republican party. this is a party that could be at risk of blowing to pieces. >> you know, this really is a problem for the republican party. such a dramatic change it was, 49-45 republicans. i bet that's more than ten point ...

About the nfl all day every day. but there is real work to do and you were hired by us, the people. you are paid by us, the people. this is a big job and he's flaunting and flittering away the real opportunity he has to actually lead. when he is given that opportunity, he goes low every time. >> how much of that runs into the collective toll that corruption takes here? some may say i never thought he was going to drain the swamp, i'm not going to vote for him or the republicans. that's sort of a sitting voting block. as we all know, the way midterms and turnout matter is everyone else. is ther...