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First of all, there is this basic philosophical question. look, we know the democrats by and large the energy for background checks legislatively has come from the democratic party, by and large the opposition has come from the republican party, yet when you ask people which party does a better job with gun policy, the republican party wins. remember, universal background checks, 97% support, and yet republicans win that philosophical question. that is number one. how about this, though? how about when you run an actual political campaign around the issue of background checks. a lot of nuance ...

This is a state hillary clinton won. background checks, poll it, 97%. they ran a campaign. there was money, debates, arguments back and forth, it lost. background checks lost in maine 52% to 48%. then how about this, the last time, one of the last times we had a tragedy like we saw a couple of days ago, you had the sandy hook massacre in 2012. what happened after that? there was a push in the united states senate for background checks. there was a vote, in fact. it failed. didn't get enough votes to pass. this was in 2013. how about the politics of this? every one of these republicans you see ...

Rasmussen poll shows approval rating 46% right now. president obama's at the same time was at 47%. yet, president obama -- there it is right there. they have gotten more or less the same approval rating at this moment yet, the so-called mainstream media, which is really the left wing media is saying that president trump is the most disapproved president of all time. >> so when you look at this poll it kind of reinforces what we have known about what donald trump would refer to as the fake news taking a poll like this and still having the narrative that he is not doing well. when you take a loo...

Philadelphia. we don't have confirmation of that, we do have confirmation of a new poll out today by fox news in alabama, and it was an eyebrow raiser for some, showing doug jones, the democrat, up ten points now, and you can see the shift from november. eight points. at ten points now, our poll. this is a big difference that has roy moore still holding an edge. at 2.2%. as you go back into our poll it, both by party identification, and alabama, again, out today, u see the democrats holding strong with jones at a 90%. republicans 81. independent is where the shift is in our poll it, and again,...

Nate silver gives her a 65% chance. that's the same about markets. it's 2-1. does that sound right to you? >> i happen last night to have been with the leading economists who studies this kind of stuff. if i say prediction markets, you're going to say brexit. >> i'll also go marco rubio but go ahead. >> there's an enormous amount of data out there that points the same way. >> marco rubio is going to win the nomination? >> he might be president. i'll give you one example. we talk about the polls. one of the questions that's in the polls that was in "the new york times" poll yesterday is not jus...