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Going on, potentially costing clinton the election in the eyes of some polling analysts but he has refused to address whether the fbi was also investigating trump to the consternation of many observers. >> we never confirm or deny pending investigation. >> the irony of your making that statement here i cannot avoid. >> it has been established by u.s. intelligence agencies that they have high confidence the russian government intervened during the election to damage hillary clinton and help trump. what is far, far less clear is whether there is any truth to reid's allegation that trump and his ...

Reporting. that's was bruce's first appearance on "saturday night live" since 2002 and only his third overall. as for sir paul, he's been a musical guest four times. last time in 2012. go figure. we're doing a top tech gifts segment just days before christmas. we'll check out the must-haves of the season. he's making a move in the polls. what do people see in ted cruz that could make him a serious contender? one of the nation's foremost polling analysts joins us next. . so we asked them... are you completely prepared for retirement? okay, mostly prepared? could you save 1% more of your i...

Terrorist. the group's top bomb maker. u.s. officials still waiting for confirmation from the yemeni government. in california, amtrak train carrying 204 passengers slamming into a semi truck last night. authorities reporting at least 39 injured. and in georgia, more than 1,000 family members and supporters gathering to mourn executed inmate troy davis. davis was put to death last month for the 1989 murder of a police officer. davis insisted until his execution he was innocent. >> kelly: the latest fox news poll shows mitt romney reclaiming the lead in the gop presidential race. but with o...

Chance of winning, is that correct? >> we should be careful about probabilities this high because once the probability gets that high, it's not so clear that it matters whether it's 91%, 95% or 99% but yes, that's right. the probability is high enough that my side is reporting it as currently above 99%. >> just, is it possible to get a hundred percent probability on one of these things? >> it is never possible to get exactly a hundred percent probability. if my site says 101%, you should worry. >> so she got the best score she can get. that's the highest score on the s.a.t.s here as it were of...

You used to calculate this, professor? >> the princeton election consortium uses entirely state polls, state polls are the most accurate of the polls that are available to polling analysts in the u.s., and so what we do is we take each state, take the available polls for the last two weeks, actually a little bit shorter period now, calculate a median, so arrange them in order and calculate the median of those polls, figure out the possibility from that of who's ahead in either state, in each of those states, and then take that and compound that across all 56 races. there are 56 races that dete...