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Vote, they would argue that scotland actually voted to remain, largely, whereas the overall vote was to leave, and therefore, for some people, that constitutes a significant change, which might warrant another referendum. but as jo pointed out, there is an actually seem to be that much one of the people, certainly in polling terms, and whilst when you dissect that polling does appear to be that younger people are more in favour of having a referendum, whereas people over 60 are more inclined not to have a referendum, overall it does seem to be something that the majority don't. .. seem to be s...

Warren calls big structural change and not going after each other at all. it will be interesting to see if they try to do that again with biden sort of taking the moderate position and how that plays out. he certainly is a stronger advocate for that position than some of the others they were on stage with last time. >> nolan, really striking numbers in the democrats versus donald trump part of the poll with biden with this kind of huge lead. i mean, that's just a huge lead in polling terms, 54% to 38% over donald trump one on one, bernie sanders, 53-39, within the margin of error, about the sa...

Sanders and elizabeth warren, we saw them in detroit essentially locking arms as the people agitating for what elizabeth warren calls big structural change and not going after each other at all. it will be interesting to see if they try to do that again with biden sort of taking the moderate position and how that plays out. he certainly is a stronger advocate for that position than some of the others they were on stage with last time. >> nolan, really striking numbers in the democrats versus donald trump part of the poll with biden with this kind of huge lead. i mean, that's just a huge lead i...

President is a nonlinear relationship. that's what we call it in polling terms. what that means is, an incumbent absolutely gets punished for a bad economy. if you are herbert hoover, you are blamed for the bad economy, on the other hand, a good economy is not necessarily were awarded as or consistently, particularly if you do not do two critical things in an election is an incumbent, talk about your success, talk about the next step, and disqualify your opponent as a threat to that economic growth. can i gave you one example that we have been through? >> sean: yes. thank goodness, where has t...

Recognition at this point in the game? >> yes, alex. polls at this point are measuring name i.d. more than anything else. i think it's instructive to look back at this point in the 2016 cycle. bernie sanders had not yet announced. hillary clinton are not yet formally announced although she was certainly more than 100% considered the candidate and the front-runner at that point. and roughly at this point, in 2015, 76% of americans said they had no idea who bernie sanders even was. and within months, you know, he had rocketed to a name i.d. that in polling terms is nearly universal which he has ...