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Pieces of information tell us it most certainly is. first, nate silver has crunched the numbers on the tipping point states, and his model shows ohio blows away the field. there's an exact 50/50 chance ohio will provide the decisive electoral vote for whoever wins. silver says in the thousands of election simulations he's done, the winner in ohio wins the election 95% of the time. do you like the way they do business, 95% is pretty good for any bet. the reason number two occurred last night in the debate. in a debate that was supposed to be about foreign policy, the most heated exchange betwee...

There's an exact 50/50 chance ohio will provide the decisive electoral vote for whoever wins. silver says in the thousands of election simulations he's done, the winner in ohio wins the election 95% of the time. do you like the way they do business, 95% is pretty good for any bet. the reason number two occurred last night in the debate. in a debate that was supposed to be about foreign policy, the most heated exchange between obama and challenger romney came over the auto bailout, an issue of crucial importance to voters in ohio as well as iowa and wisconsin and, of course, michigan. "the huff...

We're back. after months and months of fighting, president obama and the democratic party turned a health care reform bill into the law of the land. but a week after signing the bill, the pollster.com average for president obama's job approval has him absolutely even. about 48% are approving him and about 48% disapproving him. should there be a bounce? in fact, those numbers don't really show much change. will the mood improve for the president and his party down the road? susan page is the washington bureau chief for "u.s.a. today." and josh gershstein is a reporter for politico. very importa...

We're back. after months and months of fighting, president obama and the democratic party turned a health care reform bill into the law of the land. but a week after signing the bill, the pollster.com average for president obama's job approval has him absolutely even. about 48% are approving him and about 48% disapproving him. should there be a bounce? in fact, those numbers don't really show much change.ç the will the mood improve for the president and his party down the road? susan page is the washington bureau chief for "u.s.a. today." and josh gershstein is a reporter for politico. very ...