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Shaheen is a differentincumbentn the democratic side and she is separating from the issue, and she over 50%, and by right now she is leading by a comfortable margin. >> and david, tell us about the importance of the independent vote especially in the midterm. >> in this election it is going to be huge. it is going to be minus 18 among republicans, and when you look at the states that president obama won by less than 10%, colorado, pennsylvania, virginia and florida and where the margins were less than 6%, it is a huge issue, because you don't have that personal popularity, and the job approval...

>> we will lose seats in the house. you know, i'm fairly certain of that, just based on the poll numbers that are coming out of some of the more experienced pollsters down there. and i think that we may lose the senate. i think that is a possibility if things continue to go the way they have been. >> to pollster david who says that the democrats are in for a world of hurt, and i have to agree, because it seems they are not showing up to president obama's speeches at the rose garden and they don't want to be near the obamacare rollout or what do you call it, a failed law? >> well, it is going t...

President on this issue. >> all right. we will leave it right there. thank you very much, david. and the surge in the obamacare enrollments may have a reason, because tax preparers were paid a bounty to sign them up, and guess where it comes from? you and me. california received a exchange to pay for the tax preparers and this is new business for them? >> yes, it is new business for them, and it helps the bottom line, and there are 79 different tax preparing services in the state of california that are certified obamacare enrollment counselors and they are not navigators which is a higher ce...