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Said the race no chance, no way donald trump could win. fred davis said there's a 1 in 100 chance that donald trump could win. those four guys, again, across party, smart guys. have all run or been associated with presidential candidates over 30 years. >> you know l.a. you're from l.a. we did have the reverse bradley effect. people would not admit they were voting for donald trump because they watch tv every day and everybody every day said trump was a racist. i ask this question, if that's on tv all day and somebody calls you up and says who are you voting for, you don't say donald trump. >> ...

The message specifically is to voters, "hey, guy, it's pretty like they hillary clinton is going to be in the white house. you've got to elect kelly ayotte as a check and balance." let's watch part of the add. >> america's future is far from certain, but no matter who the next president is, new hampshire needs a strong voice in the u.s. senate. that senator? kelly ayotte. she works across the aisle to get things done. maggie hassen's record? she voted over 100 times for more tax and fees. imagine what she'd do unchecked in washington with a new president. >> let me show you, still focused on n...

Ahead of the numbers but based on the number you're describing as somebody with the polling back ground you've got, do you expect this to be a north carolina only phenomenon? or do you expect this to be the kind of thing in other states that have a similar demographic profile? >> i think this is something that at least for now, is the case across the country. basically, every single poll that has come out in every state over the last two or three week or nationally has shown donald trump in the top two or three. and one thing that was particularly fascinating about this poll rachel. john case ...

North. >> it was apropos he would die in a winter like this, and in commemoration of larry, i think next week we should bounce all bumbles at half mast. >> didn't i tell you, bumbles bounce! >> you're the only one i know who would eulogize larry mast. public polling, ppp. i'm going to read the questions. lee harvey os wald acted alone in killing president kennedy or was there a larger conspiracy? there was a couple things i couldn't answer so i would probably put myself in the not sure here because there are a couple things after years i still can't answer about that assassination. >> i thin...

It's still unclear what the path forward is. >> republicans keep on saying they want to defund obama care because they say that's what the american people want. do we have any real sense on the public's thinking on that. >> public polling show the act isn't the most popular legislation congress has passed but when you start talking about defunding the affordable care act and having a government shutdown because of it, all of a sudden, americans certainly would much rather have the affordable care act than a government shutdown. >> okay. jonathan, what about basically two big headlines here. fi...