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The big easy: RBA tightening far, far away


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Via Bill Evans at Westpac:
Markets are closely scrutinising the next moves from the RBA.
It is important to recall that the key lesson of recent years for central banks and the likely current thinking of the RBA as expressed last year by the Deputy Governor is that it is better to err on the side of providing too much stimulus – even more so when exiting a damaging recession which has left the unemployment rate at unacceptable levels (albeit not as high as feared).
The next Board meeting is on February 2 to be followed by an address (30 minutes speech; 30 minutes Q and A) by the Governor to the National Press Club on February 3. ....

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - FOXNEWS - 20131218:16:08:00

On outgoing fed chair bern earn about on his final press conference. including a pull back on the fed s massive stimulus program and a possible change in key interest rates. a report suggest that is the housing levels are highest in six years. doug mckelway is in washington. so, doug, what do the housing numbers mean for fed policy here? reporter: jon, they mean a couple of things. first they re encouraging sign in the momentum in the housing market. albeit slow continues. housing starts jumped 22% in november. that is more than anytime since january of 1990. that may give the federal reserve another reason to cut back its quantitative easing policy, its bond purchasing, printing of money to stave off the threat of inflation. we re headed in the right direction. i think it is too slow for anybody s comfort but again the momentum is moving in the right direction. i think if we start to get the ....

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20131022:13:09:00

Conduct of policy. so the federal reserve, for example, really is going to have some difficulty making a decision about what to do about his quantitative easing policy, the bond-buying program, because of the lack of data and perhaps more importantly going forward the quality of the data over the next couple, three months is going to be suspect just because of all the delays and other things that went on during the shutdown. i want to pick up on that last point, mark, because according to what you re saying or a number of economists this is going to be the last clean report of the year that s not impacted by the shutdown. sounds like you agree with that. and what could the broader implications be? yeah, i think that s right. clearly the october number, which we ll get in a couple of weeks, that will be significantly affected by the shutdown, probably it won t be until january, february next year when the data is clean again in the sense that it s not being affected by measurement i ....

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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20120621:09:39:00

Operation twist. this program basically swaps $267 billion in u.s. treasury securities, so basically the fed will sell the short end and buy the long end, trying to bring down long-term rates. it s had this program in place several months now, due to expire at the end of the month, but the fed will keep that in place, almost essentially keeping the status quo. but in expected slightly more than that from the fed. a full blown quantitative easing policy, for instance, which would have been an outright purchase of securities, pumping more money into the economy, expanding the fed s balance sheet. in terms of the effect that operation twist will have so far on the economy is keeping long-term rates low, but rates are really low right now, so you might be asking what is the benefit of this. it might be the reaction that the fed is ready to help out if more need is required, and there might be a case that the growth is weakening by the fed s own estimates. growth will now be lowering to ....

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