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Commentator Peter FitzSimons has explained why a tightening Federal election race may leave Scott Morrison as prime minister while repeating criticisms of his performance in the job.
Late polls show a tightening on two-party preferred votes, but a slew of seat polls reveal just how close a lot of the contests will be on May 21.
Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
The polls continue to show Labor in an election winning position - but the Coalition will take some heart from the rise in Scott Morrison’s approval rating.
Labor’s confidence will be boosted by two polls showing it holding a strong lead, as Anthony Albanese carried off a well orchestrated party launch on Sunday.