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Increase voter turnout which generally is good for democrats. you can see in some of the early numbers of return ballots that democrats have a small persistent lead, i don't know what numbers are today, which is historically good because they don't usually have the lead in the state prior to election day. so colorado is a really tough one. nick's basically right, which is that if trump is going to get a state from clinton, it's most likely to be in the upper midwest, the rust belt. places like michigan or wisconsin. i think the wisconsin marquette poll yesterday was deflating for them in that ...

Where hillary clinton was today. she's showing a four point edge. 47-43%. this is where she was with michelle obama. this is the state they want to recreate the obama commission in. she looks to have an edge. here is one of the states that might be acting downright blue. we've not seen georgia go democratic since bill clinton's race. he wasn't even able to hold it in his reelect. and can clinton campaign has not yet committed surrogate travel. hillary clinton is not going there yet. we don't a see a ton of spending going on in georgia. the clinton campaign is not treating that like a really wi...

You have some new early voting numbers, mark. what do you have? >> brooke, the last time we talked it was about 24.4 million people voted early. look where we are now. new data that just came in in the last hour, 31 million people have cast ballots in 38 states. but i want to look at four different states right now. two in the midwest. two out west. let's look at iowa right now. almost 499,000, 500,000 people have cast their votes in iowa. let's dig deeper. we look at 2016 and right now documents have a 41,000-vote edge. but if you go back to 2012, they had a 60,000 ballot edge in return ballo...