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State of ohio, obama at 281. if you gave that to romney, look at that, 275-263. that's why it is so key. what is the one state that could keep us up at night? let's look out west. we've been giving it to mitt romney colorado. watch what happens if we give romney florida, virginia, ohio. he's at 266. president obama, what does he need? new hampshire, wisconsin, iowa, all places he's favored and look at the one place that's keeping us up at night, western state, mountain time zone, late closing time, 266, 263, nine electoral votes there could swing it one way or the other. let's look at one last...

Electoral votes available, 538, meaning it is possible for two candidates to both reach 269 and not get a majority. that political time bomb has never actually gone off. but this year the chance that it could is higher than it's been in a while. in today's "deep dive," we'll start with a few scenarios demonstrating how we could get to that point. let me start with scenario number one. right now i'm just dealing with the battleground as we know it. if we give the president colorado, wisconsin, and virginia, and you give romney florida, north carolina, ohio, iowa, and nevada, and new hampshire, ...

You can play the what if game. hit that button right there. and then you can start telling us what if obama loses ohio and florida? you start the game and hit that there. you can say, okay, we'll give romney florida and also ohio. that gives him 244 electoral votes. what does that mean for president obama? let's say he takes nevada and ohio, as chuck todd says because of the hispanic vote. then he needs pennsylvania, democrats have won since 1992. that gives him 266. all he needs is virginia or north carolina and he gets the seal to become the president of the united states. then you can submi...