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From the beginning and is back on top now. is all of this jockeying over? is this the start of round two? >> the good thing for everybody is that the voters in iowa get to decide and not the media. we are back where we started. for sure that romney will be the nominee and for sure they will be again. it looks strong he will do well in iowa and probably new hampshire. it's a difficult state to pull because of the process. new hampshire likes to shape things up as well. you never exactly know. >> you can look at the numbers a lot of different ways and some people say it's his turn and he was the...

Focus groups and all this tends to get surprised. i will recount what happened four years ago, they nominated mike huckabee and he was over romney. the polling is running about the same as four years ago. 24.5%. i think he has a good chance to win, but this ron paul surge right now indicates that iowa folks want to make a point. these are republican voters regardless of those swing voters who is always against wofr is in office right now. the mainstream republican voters are conservative and they tend to run towards the mike huckabee type. ron paul is a libertarian, but he is christian and ant...

New hampshire is not embracing ron paul. >> third in new hampshire in the new suffolk university poll. romney lost some ground. >> bill: huntsman is third. i don't expect ron paul to do that well in new hampshire. do i expect him to do well in iowa. >> the interesting thing for tonight, i think, is to see if newt gingrich substantively starts to take on ron paul because, when you look at where the numbers are, today and, again, you are right, it's very difficult to figure it out. romney has not really gained a lot as far as support. but gingrich has lost some. so, a lot of ron paul -- a lot of...

Radio. we have disagreements. i think he would be an awful president. >> bill: but that opinion, your opinion and the opinion of other conservatives who don't like him for a variety of reasons has taken its toll as you saw the rasmussen poll today has romney now leading with no gain. romney support stays the same it's just that gingrich has come down and paul round up. michele bachmann ran into trouble because of some misstatements of fact, her view on gays was pretty harsh. that they could be changed and all of that. she run into a lot of social problems because, as you remember, she had a lo...

Has 12% in third. and join us to gives some insight as to where things currently stand in new hampshire, south carolina, florida, republican strategist, john, and a democratic pollster also. good to see you. >> thank you. >> let's look at iowa caucuses, and this is the time poll that came out. gingrich in iowa, 33. 20 for romney. paul is doing pretty well, 17. romney up in new hampshire, 35. 26 gingrich, 17 paul. will the attacks that are inevitably coming tomorrow in the debate and then thursday right here at the fox debate, how big an impact are they going to have maybe moving the poll numbe...