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to catch up with but, at this very early stage, way out in front right now. 74.6% of the vote. but if you just take a look at the number of votes, you'll see what i mean about this being very early days — 238 votes. ron desantis here, you can see, in second place with 15.4%. nikki haley coming in third. what you will notice, compared to that last des moines register poll we had seen — there's a switch here between ron desantis and nikki haley. nikki haley had previously leapfrogged ron desantis. now, at this very early stage, ron desantis has managed to pull ahead. let's zoom in on some of the counties and find out what's going on there. this is pulk, home to des moines — of course, the state capital. very early days — just1 out of 176

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precincts counted there. as you can see, right now, donald trump is doing well — 10 votes, albeit, but it's 76%. just a word on what nikki haley is looking to achieve in these urban areas — she's been out campaigning in them aggressively, because they take such a big proportion of these votes — some 75,000 votes up for grabs in these particular areas. so it's been really important to the nikki haley campaign. let's move up, then. we can see some results are coming in in the north—west. the north—west is important in iowa. when we talk about religious conservative, for example, the evangelical vote, this is one of its heartlands, in fact. here you can see, in lyne county, donald trump with 72%. ron desantis once again in second place. and that's significant because we know that ron desantis and his campaign have really been focusing on trying to court that vote as well. thank you for that, helena. we

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though. she's backing ron desantis. anyway, - though. she's backing ron desantis. anyway, we've l though. she's backing ron i desantis. anyway, we've got to go. it desantis. anyway, we've got to no. desantis. anyway, we've got to a 0. ., ., go. it did nothing for him. zero. we'll _ go. it did nothing for him. zero. we'll wait _ go. it did nothing for him. zero. we'll wait and i go. it did nothing for him. zero. we'll wait and see i go. it did nothing for him. i zero. we'll wait and see what happens- _ zero. we'll wait and see what happens. senior _ zero. we'll wait and see what happens. senior sad - zero. we'll wait and see what happens. senior sad advisor i zero. we'll wait and see what i happens. senior sad advisor for former happens. senior sad advisorfor former president donald j. trump, thank you forjoining us. let's cross over to north america correspondent gary north america correspondent gary 0'donoghue. we're going to speak quite softly, because they're doing a prayer ahead of the caucus beginning here. we need to show some respect. they'vejust taken the 0ath some respect. they'vejust taken the oath of allegiance, of course, which they do at the beginning of meetings like this. this is a precinct that's a pretty big one. three precincts combined together. last time around, of course, ted cruz won here — as he did in the rest of iowa. donald trump came in a close second to him. well, i'm going to try to speak very quietly, if we can, to get the blessing of the

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for second place between nikki haley— for second place between nikki haley and ron desantis. i was one at— haley and ron desantis. i was one at his _ haley and ron desantis. i was one at his rallies last night. it one at his rallies last night. it was — one at his rallies last night. it was packed, standing room only — it was packed, standing room only a— it was packed, standing room only. a lot of enthusiasm for him — only. a lot of enthusiasm for him we _ only. a lot of enthusiasm for him. we will see if you can take — him. we will see if you can take that _ him. we will see if you can take that enthusiasm and build on that— take that enthusiasm and build on that and potentially a second—place finish. it would be second—place finish. it would he a — second—place finish. it would be a crucial thing. they have spent — be a crucial thing. they have spent a _ be a crucial thing. they have spent a lot of time and resources on iowa, is going all the way. — resources on iowa, is going all the way. as— resources on iowa, is going all the way, as some people say. we will see _ the way, as some people say. we will see exactly how that race for second place is shaping up. caucusing _ for second place is shaping up. caucusing is still under way in very many precinct sites but the projection is donald trump will win. we do not expect results for another hour or two i was more depending on the size of the caucus. some have 12-50 size of the caucus. some have 12—50 people, others have 800 people and all those votes have to be cast, counted in front of

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cedar rapids. as we start to see those results come in, if nikki haley doesn't get any kind of big momentum — because that's where she would probably likely get it — then i don't see this being a good night for nikki haley. ron desantis is going to try to pull the ted cruz model, going after the evangelicals and otherwise. but, right now, if nikki can't start pulling ahead in the more populous counties, then it's not going to be a good night for her. i not going to be a good night for her. . ., not going to be a good night for her. , . ., . . for her. i 'ust want to add a bit more — for her. ijust want to add a bit more information i for her. ijust want to add a bit more information we're| bit more information we're getting in from our partner, cbs news — we all knew that donald trump was far away and the leader here in the polls. they're saying he won with strong support among white evangelicals, men, women, older voters, and young voters, improving on his 2016 performance with all of those groups. of course, we are still waiting for a lot of those numbers to come in. but that shows his strength in the state, doesn't it, congressman? it truly does. if i was donald trump. _ it truly does. if i was donald trump. i— it truly does. if i was donald trump, i would declare victory right— trump, i would declare victory right now—

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what _ voter told me he knows exactly what he — voter told me he knows exactly what he will get with donald trump, _ what he will get with donald trump, because he's seen what he did _ trump, because he's seen what he did in— trump, because he's seen what he did in his first term in office. _ he did in his first term in office, and he wants to see another— office, and he wants to see another term office, and he wants to see anotherterm in office, and he wants to see another term in office from donald _ another term in office from donald trump. there were small crowds but they were building.— there were small crowds but they were building. between 50 and 75 showed _ they were building. between 50 and 75 showed up. _ they were building. between 50 and 75 showed up. but - they were building. between 50 and 75 showed up. but obvious| and 75 showed up. but obvious sopport— and 75 showed up. but obvious support for the former president, fort donald trump. this— president, fort donald trump. this is— president, fort donald trump. this is going to be the watch party— this is going to be the watch party for— this is going to be the watch party for desantis's campaign. the doors _ party for desantis's campaign. the doors are not officially open. _ the doors are not officially open, the media has been allowed _ open, the media has been allowed in but we will be waiting _ allowed in but we will be waiting 25 minutes to see more. ron desantis still out there, he was — ron desantis still out there, he was in _ ron desantis still out there, he was in eastern iowa today. to make _ he was in eastern iowa today. to make his case. you might even — to make his case. you might even get _ to make his case. you might even get one of the candidates themselves showing up to your caucus— themselves showing up to your caucus side to make their case in person _ caucus side to make their case in person. clearly, it is now looking _ in person. clearly, it is now looking as _ in person. clearly, it is now looking as if this is a battle

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presidential nominee in the first contest of 202a. we are live from iowa watching as the caucuses unfold and we'll have the results as they happen. while the winner of tonight's contest is expected to be former president donald trump, anything can happen. but many are watching what is being called the race for second — as former governor nikki haley and current florida governor ron desantis battle for support at crucial phase of their campaigns. haley has surged ahead to second place in iowa according to recent polls, but desantis continued to make a strong showing in iowa in the final hours before the caucuses began. i think president trump was the right president at the right time. i agree with a lot of his policies. but, rightly or wrongly, chaos follows him. you know i'm right. chaos follows him. and we can't be a country in disarray in a world on fire and go through four more years of chaos. we won't survive it.

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contest is underway here in the us state of iowa. we're here live, as voters brave bitterly cold temperatures to cast their ballots for who they want to represent this party in the november elections. donald trump — who has been leading in the polls — is expected to be tonight's big winner, with entrance polls suggesting iowa is leaning quite firmly towards the former president. but all eyes are on the former governor of south carolina, nikki haley, and the current florida governor, ron desantis, who are both facing a crucial test for their campaigns in that race for second place. we'll bring you all of the results as they come in. joining me now is our very own reporter, who i believe is at governor desantis' watch party in west des moines. karl? we have a little issue there with karl's line, i think. we'll come back to him. for now, let's cross over to our reporter, helena humphrey, who

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own reporter at governor ron desantis' watch party in west des moines. you were at a caucus earlier. you've been moving around iowa. what's the mood like out there about this victory for donald trump? yes, i was at a caucus site earlier— yes, i was at a caucus site earlier today outside of des moines, _ earlier today outside of des moines, the capital city of low _ moines, the capital city of low i_ moines, the capital city of iowa. i was speaking with some of the _ iowa. i was speaking with some of the caucusgoers. i actually did end — of the caucusgoers. i actually did end up speaking to three first—time caucusgoers. all three — first—time caucusgoers. all three of— first—time caucusgoers. all three of them were donald trump supporters. they were there intending to caucus for donald trump — intending to caucus for donald trump. there was some interesting data coming into tonight— interesting data coming into tonight that showed that more than _ tonight that showed that more than 50% of first—time caucusgoers were going to be donald — caucusgoers were going to be donald trump supporters. that's exactly _ donald trump supporters. that's exactly a — donald trump supporters. that's exactly a hint of what we saw tonight _ exactly a hint of what we saw tonight. speaking with them, it tends _ tonight. speaking with them, it tends to— tonight. speaking with them, it tends to coalesce and vibe with what _ tends to coalesce and vibe with what we — tends to coalesce and vibe with what we saw in that exit—poll data — what we saw in that exit—poll data. people were worried about the state — data. people were worried about the state of the economy. one voter— the state of the economy. one voter told _ the state of the economy. one voter told me he knows exactly

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supporters share his sort of personality and sense of self. an attack on him feels like an attack on them. it makes it very personal. so they're very sticky. no matter how many charges or indictments, it's only brought them closer to him, even more supportive of him, even more supportive of him, as opposed to what normally happens to politicians when they are shrouded in that kind of scandal. usually there is some stepping back, creating some distance. that's just simply not happening here. congressman, you were saying if you were donald trump, you'd say, "i won," get on you were donald trump, you�*d say, "i won," get on the you were donald trump, you'd say, "i won," get on the plane and head over to new hampshire. if you look at nikki haley and ron desantis, what would you tell them to do right now? depending on, of course, the numbers at the end of the night — that's important. numbers at the end of the night - that's important.— - that's important. when the end of the — - that's important. when the end of the night _ - that's important. when the end of the night comes, i - that's important. when the| end of the night comes, we'll see what their percentages are. i think their percentages will probably be higher than some anticipate. i think they have to figure out what their next step is. nikki haley's going to go full bore in new hampshire, where polling has her close with president trump. i mean, the candidate who has the most

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