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Was that nobody was allowed access to the site because of the fighting and because of the lack of control over this situation. so so much information that could have been garnered early on wasn't. you're saying here, you will definitely know why this happened and if people want to, they would know sooner rather than later, yes? >> well, it's highly unlikely that they're not going to know what happened. when you have an accident report, it usually says probability of what happened. it's not always that there is an absolutely conclusive decision as to what caused an accident. but i think here we...

This flight, that this plane was at an extreme pitch going up very quickly on takeoff? is there any reason to believe that is predictive of anything? >> no. i don't think so. it really depends on what was going through the pilot's mind. i don't think there was any threat. from everything i've seen, there was no real threat, matrix there, that would allow them to believe they would have something to worry about on the ascent. that doesn't mean they didn't have a piece of information we may not have. the russians may have shared it with their folks and not anyone else. that's a possibility. ther...

Investigating authorities, that will be the russians, the airline, the french and the germans, we will -- the truth will come out. i'm sure that the cockpit voice recorder and flight data recorder will reveal a great deal of data that's going to point finger at exactly what happened. >> how does russia being in the mix here, paul, change the analysis of what you'll find out and when? >> they're not necessarily the most transparent nor are the egyptians. that's going to be a problem we'll face moving forward. are they going to release all the information in a way that, say, the united states or...

Curiosity is answers for the families and justice for the lives lost, if it is appropriate. let's get more with david soucie, former faa accident investigator and inspector. david, while we wait for answers, the good news is they have the black boxes. they believe they are intact. what will you know conclusively when that information is downloaded? >> as soon as the boxes come out, chris, it will be put against a time line. that time line will show various things throughout the aircraft. you have information from each of the engine, the rotation, the speed of the engines, how much vibration is...

We'll go on the information when we get it and come to you to help us understand it. david soucie, thank you very much. appreciate it. >> thank you, chris. to politics now, fresh evidence that ben carson is now the for under in the republican race. for the second time in two weeks, carson tops donald trump in a national poll. but don't count marco rubio out. the florida senator surging in key early state of new hampshire. cnn's athena jones is live in tampa with the interesting new numbers. good morning, athena. >> reporter: good morning, alisyn. this is more evidence that carson is pulling ...