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The Problem With Analysts' Forecasts We can’t predict the future. If we could, fortune tellers would all win the lottery. They don’t, we can’t, and we aren’t going to try. However, this doesn’t stop the annual parade of Wall Street analysts from putting out forecasts on the S&P 500. Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. The Problem With Forecasts In reality, all we can do is analyze what has happened in the past, weed through the noise of the present and try to discern the possible outcomes of the future.

2021: the only chart that matters.. another 3 tr USD expected to reach markets in the next 12 months.. #liquidity vs. #assetspic.twitter.com/51VVVUqGca 'When it came to financial markets in 2020, anything smacking of carrying any semblance of risk, from junk bonds to Bitcoin, had epic rallies. The reason: $14 trillion. That’s the amount by which the aggregate money supply has increased this year.' t.co/wFAVqVlkjdpic.twitter.com/Fh04lZXp9P junk bond yields have never been lower in the U.S. after a massive Fed-fueled rally — the debt hit distressed levels in March, when the market fell b...

“Maybe this time is different. Those words, supposedly the most dangerous to utter in the investing realm, came to mind amid the frenzied pops in the highly anticipated initial public offerings recently.” That quote was from Randall Forsyth discussing why the current market mania reminds him of the  There are certainly many similarities between today and 1999. From exceedingly high valuations to a rush by private equity investors to IPO overly priced companies as quickly as possible, prices are high. Of course, such is not possible without an underlying  “Fear Of Missing Out, or F.O....